What to make of the EU deal?

Well, don't expect any help from The Guardian:

There was still a long way to go and the deal was far from sealed, Dave soothingly cajoled, but “what we’ve got is what I basically asked for”. It was the basically that gave the game away, because basically he hasn’t. There’s a huge gulf between what he promised in the 2015 election manifesto and what he’s hoping to get but hasn’t yet got. “People said this wouldn’t happen,” he continued. But it has. Exactly as everyone predicted.

“At the beginning, there were people who said I should start the negotiations by kicking over the table,” Dave said, waving his arms and pumping his fists. The bags that have appeared under his eyes over the past few months jogged up and down in time. Still, the Siemens employees who had been co-opted as his audience remained largely unmoved – and just as confused as Dave about what had and hadn’t been achieved. Some were wearing white coats; waiting to take Dave away, presumably.

Dave dug deep in search of the Cicero within. No joy there. “But I chose to go about it in a calm and measured way,” he said. So calm and measured that he has managed to negotiate almost everything the EU was already quite happy to concede. “We’ve got an emergency brake on benefits to migrants,” he said. “It’s a very special emergency brake. It’s an emergency brake that will last for X and only if Y and Z also happen.” And what were X, Y and Z? Dave couldn’t say, because the other 27 countries hadn’t yet agreed on the exact definitions of both emergency and brake. In mathematical terms, it’s known as the Cameron conjecture.

Some of us would describe it as a farce ...

Music of the week

Given this, there can only be one choice for this week:

Sacré bleu!

What is the world coming to?  The Times reports:

There was a time when no French village would be without its flour-covered baker — an endless source of bread and gossip.

Now this most emblematic of Gallic figures is being replaced by a machine after the invention of the automatic baguette distributor.

Hundreds of the vending machines, which cost about €9,000 each, have appeared on streets across the country, and manufacturers say there is no end in sight to the rise in sales.

Mon dieu!  Qu'est-ce qui se passe?  Où sont les neiges d'antan?  Foutu ...

Quote of the day

From The Guardian (here):

... for three years, Google’s tax avoidance has bubbled away in the news and calls for any kind of collective action have never got further than a few comment pieces and a bit of noise on social media. Four years ago, one tweeter nailed the obvious reason why. “That’s it. I’m boycotting Google,” he wrote. “Apart from their maps. And their search engine. And the docs. And Gmail. Other than that, we’re over.”

You may wish to note that Blogger, which is the cost-free host of this blog, is also part of Google.  As is YouTube.  Oh, and also the Chrome browser ...

         

Pots and kettles

CityAM reports:

Media mogul Rupert Murdoch took to Twitter today to blast politicians in the UK and the US for giving Google an easy way out of questions over its tax arrangements.

Google recently reached a £130m deal with HMRC over corporation tax claims covering a 10-year period.

However, Murdoch referred to the payment as a "token amount", handed over for "PR purposes". 

In a series of tweets, the News Corp boss accused politicians of being "easily awed" by tech industry figures such as Google chairman Eric Schmidt, and said the tech giant had "planted dozens of their people" in governments around the world.

I have a vague recollection of senior figures in the Murdoch empire getting close to the Prime Minister - country suppers, loan of a horse, meetings on yachts, etc ...   But perhaps the old monster is merely envious.

   

That's me, probably

http://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/ng-interactive/2016/jan/27/the-gps-guide-to-how-much-you-really-drink-cartoon

The man who changed his mind

Google's money tree

Like Topsy, it just grows and grows.  The Guardian reports:

Alphabet, Google’s parent company, will report its 2015 earnings next week and is expected to confirm that offshore cash funds have grown by about $4bn in just 12 months.

Offshore reserves of $43bn, held largely through Bermuda, represent profits from markets outside the US. Of these markets, the UK is the largest, accounting for 17% of non-US sales. But latest published accounts show Google’s UK subsidiary paid just £21m in tax for 2013.

Google’s tax structure means income from many major overseas markets – including £4.56bn from the UK – is booked through Ireland. Much of it is then bounced through the Netherlands and back to Ireland and Bermuda. These strategies are known in tax jargon as the “Double Irish” and the “Dutch Sandwich”.

 Tax strategies have nicknames?

 

Fair?

Even The Times thinks it is on the dodgy side:

If Google thought it would win brownie points from its tax deal with the UK authorities, it misjudged things badly.

It might not be terribly fair. At least Google is coughing up £130 million more than it might have done otherwise had it dug in its heels. In future, it will pay a bit more than it did in the past. Yet the deal looks terrible, playing into the hands of those who see tax for multinationals as optional and usually cooked up in cosy sweetheart pacts with the Revenue.

The timing of the announcement, 10 o’clock on Friday night, looked suspicious, as did the paucity of hard information in the Google statement. George Osborne’s hailing of it as a “major success” was not a good idea. People are more likely to remember Boris Johnson’s verdict: “Derisory.”

So there you go - mud all over the government, the HMRC and Google ...

   

Indistinguishable from the real thing

 

Music of the week

Beardies rule:

You know you're getting old ...

... when you accept that, while Abba may be older than they used to be:

they are growing older rather more gracefully than you are.

 

Quote of the day (well, a couple of days ago, actually)

Alex Massie of The Spectator channels his inner Clint Eastwood:

Support for the Union – the British Union, that is – has never been more provisional or contractual. The idea of independence cannot be put away or dismissed as unthinkable. It is plainly thinkable and thoughts, once thunk, cannot be unthunked.

So imagine a situation in which, just for the sake of argument, Scotland voted 65-35 (as the latest poll suggests might happen) to stay In but the UK as a whole voted 51-49 to Leave. That would be a clear, unambiguous, declaration of difference between Scotland and England. (A reminder, too, that though the Scots and the English largely think alike on most subjects, europe is a large and, in fact, ever-heftier exception to that general rule.)

Sure, it would be a decision made by Britain for Britain but it would not be universally perceived as such in Scotland. Here it would be seen by many people as though Scotland – at present much more than a region but not quite a state – was being forced to leave the EU despite manifestly preferring not to.

And that would change things. It would leave people here questioning whether Britain was still home, whether there was still a future here. At the very least, it would open space for a fresh discussion on this question. What kind of country is this? What kind of country would it like to be? If one jig is up, another ship can sail too. Perceptions would shift; impressions would change.

I assure Brexiters that a post-Brexit indyref campaign that argued Scotland cannot afford to be independent or in the EU if England is not is an argument that cannot be won with honour even if it were won at all. It would leave many Scots thinking, Well, maybe that’s true. But we’ll no be told that by the likes of you. We’ll make our own decisions, for ourselves, for better or even for worse....In the end it is simple and it comes down to this: Is there a risk Brexit might lead to the break-up of Britain? People who’ve been wrong about everything in the past tell us there isn’t. Other people, including many people who actually live in Scotland, suggest there is a risk.Perhaps it is only a small risk; it remains, I think, a risk. An entirely avoidable one, too.

So this is what it ends as: I know what you’re thinking Brexiters, ‘Did he fire six shots or only five?’ Well to tell you the truth in all this excitement I kinda lost track myself. But [being that this is a powerful set of constitutional problems] you’ve gotta ask yourself one question: ‘Do I feel lucky?’ Well, do ya, punk?  

 

Cheers!

The constant admonitions to reduce our booze intake appear to be having little effect.  The Guardian reports:

Soaring sales of sparkling wine, beer and gin at bargain prices helped supermarkets to a much happier than expected Christmas, figures show.

Total sales of beer, wine and spirits rose 2.2% across the grocery market in the three months to 3 January, according to analysts at Kantar Worldpanel, boosted by an 11% increase in sales of sparkling wines.

Sales were driven by bargain prices, with 16 out of the top 20 spirits cheaper than a year earlier, according to Nielsen. The market research group said the grocers had used discounts to pull in shoppers.

Sales of gin in the major supermarkets rose by more than £14m to £121m, making it the fastest growing spirit, followed by cream liqueurs, including Bailey’s Original, which was on offer at Asda and Morrisons, Nielsen said. But the researchers also marked out sparkling wine as the standout category, with nearly 16% more bottles sold as prices fell.

Disgraceful.  Mine's another G&T, Jeeves ...

   

What is she on?

Picture of the day

Falkirk - The Kelpies

Quote of the day

From my old acquaintance, Will Hutton, in The Observer (here):

The Chinese economy is a giant Ponzi scheme. Tens of trillions of dollars are owed to essentially bankrupt banks – and worse, bankrupt near-banks that operate in the murky shadowlands of a deeply dysfunctional mix of Leninism and rapacious capitalism. The Chinese Communist party has bought itself temporary legitimacy by its shameless willingness to direct state-owned banks to lend to consumers and businesses with little attention to their creditworthiness. Thus it has lifted growth and created millions of jobs.

It is an edifice waiting to implode. Chinese business habitually bribes Communist officials to put pressure on their bankers to forgive loans or commute interest; most loans only receive interest payments haphazardly or not at all. If the losses were crystallised, the banking system would be bust overnight. On top, huge loans have been made to China’s vast oil, gas and chemical industries on the basis of oil being above $60 a barrel, so more losses are in prospect.

Hard to disagree.  But what to do about it?  Aye, there's the rub ....

   

Music of the week

Quote of the day

From The Independent (here):

Are your feet icy cold despite you wearing thick socks and slippers? Is your boiler revealing itself to be on its last legs? Did you go to work in dank darkness and return in the very same dank darkness? Are you fatter than you were in October and have no one to blame but yourself and a tub of Lindt milk-chocolate reindeers? Has a curious despondency over the point of human existence enveloped your soul? Well, this is what January in Great Britain feels like. The sooner you accept it the better.

Being back in Edinburgh is not actually as depressing as the above might imply.  But "dank darkness" rings a bell.  Meanwhile my chums in Spain are still sipping their beers on the terrace in the sunshine. As the taxi driver from the airport said "why did you come back?".

But needs must.  And there is a perverse calvinistic pleasure in tholing the worst that the weather throws at us.  Besides, it is difficult to find a decent mutton pie in Andalucia ...

   

Er, no thanks

Not my idea of a party.  CityAM reports:

If you want to celebrate the Queen's birthday with her in what will be one of the biggest street parties the country has ever seen, you will need to fork out £150.

Tickets to the Queen's 90th birthday party in The Mall, Westminster, are to be sold for the Patron's Lunch on 12 June, her grandson announced. 

While most of the 10,000 guests will be from organisations associated with the monarch, 1,000 tickets will be released in a public ballot in February, Peter Phillips said. The winners will be able to buy the tickets from the event's website.

So, one of the richest women in the UK is charging her subjects to attend a birthday party?  She has no shame.

   

Apocalypse now?

I see that the Royal Bank of Scotland has been doom-mongering:

... RBS advice, which warned that investors face a “cataclysmic year” where stock markets could fall by up to 20% and oil could slump to $16 a barrel.

In a note to its clients the bank said: “Sell everything except high-quality bonds. This is about return of capital, not return on capital. In a crowded hall, exit doors are small.” It said the current situation was reminiscent of 2008, when the collapse of the Lehman Brothers investment bank led to the global financial crisis. This time China could be the crisis point, RBS said.

 A bit late in the day, I would have thought, as the FTSE-100 has fallen from over 7000 last April to substantially below 6000 today.  And, anyway, if you liquidate all of your investments, what are you going to do with the cash? Stick it in a bank account where it will earn less than peanuts in interest?  Even buying additional property is subject to increased attention from the taxman.

But you can still find shares at relatively cheap prices offering reasonable dividend prospects, especially in the utilities, telecomms and retail sectors.  Probably best avoid oil companies and miners for now.

 

Migration explained

A charmed life

The teflon civil servant.  The Times reports:

Lin Homer, the chief executive of Revenue and Customs, has announced that she is quitting her job only two weeks after being made a dame.

She will leave in April after a barrage of criticism from MPs over her performance at HMRC and at the UK Borders Agency before that.

Wikipedia has the mud attaching to her stellar career:

In 2005, she was criticised by the Election Commissioner for failings in her role as returning officer during a postal vote-rigging scandal involving Labour candidates the previous year, described by the Commissioner as one that "would disgrace a banana republic", and involving hundreds of votes failing to be counted.

...

The Home Office was re-organised in 2008, with the formation of the Border and Immigration Agency, later renamed the UK Border Agency, of which Homer became the first chief executive. In 2013, Homer's tenure at UKBA was criticised for its "catastrophic leadership failure" by the House of Commons Home Affairs Select Committee, which said it had been repeatedly misled by the Agency. Committee chairman Keith Vaz said her performance was "more like the scene of a Whitehall farce than a government agency operating in the 21st century".

^...

In March 2013, HMRC was criticised by the House of Commons Public Accounts Select Committee for its "unambitious and woefully inadequate" response to a report from the UK National Audit Officein December 2012 concerning poor customer service by HMRC.  Homer has said that the agency has "turned a corner" in dealing with the 79 million calls and 25 million pieces of post received by HMRC each year, having injected £34 million to tackle the problem with that aim of reaching a 90 per cent success rate.

Happy retirement to Dame Lin.  No doubt a lucrative post in the financial sector awaits ...

 

Jolly japes

According to The Times, accountants are having fun.  Yes, I know it goes totally against the grain, but there you are:

There has never been a more fun time to be an accountant. Yes, really. This week, after the small matter of 20 years chatting about it, the international accounting standards board finally will abolish the last bastion of off-balance sheet financing with new rules on operating leases.

All companies lease something or other, but it is big-ticket leasers, such as airlines or retailers with multiple rented aircraft or properties, that will be affected most.

The new rules mean the value of that, say, five-year lease on a plane or shop will have to be recognised as an asset on the balance sheet. And its total cost over that time will have to be registered as an upfront liability.

This plainly is going to wreak financial reporting havoc, with higher interest and amortisation costs in the profit and loss account while debt numbers get appreciably larger. There will not be a banking covenant in the land that will be left unlooked at. Key performance indicators such as return on capital employed will have to be recalibrated.

Gee whiz - how terrifically exciting.

   

Music of the week

It's a tough old life. leading the Labour Party

From Jeremy Corbyn's diary - according to The Times (here):

Monday

I’m locked in the opposition offices in the House of Commons, beginning work on my new year reshuffle. Shouldn’t take long.

“It’s a shame George Galloway lost his seat,” says John McDonnell. “Because he’d have made an excellent shadow defence secretary.”

I tell him I’m actually thinking of Diane Abbott, but Diane says she’s quite happy in her current role.

“Although I cannot at this precise moment remember,” she adds, “what it actually is.”

Then Seumas, my press guy, says the Blarites are all spreading rumours about a purge.

“We can’t have that,” says Diane. “You need to purge them.”

“Or kneecap them,” says John.

“Stop it,” I say. “That’s the old politics. This is the new politics. People need to be free to disagree with me.”

Diane says she’s not sure she agrees with that.

“Kneecap her,” says John.

   

Quote of the day

From The Guardian (here):

Yeah but, no but, yeah but, no but, yeah but. Only a few weeks ago George Osborne was telling the country that we’d never had it so good, Britain had the strongest economy on the planet and he was the man to fix the roof when the sun was shining. Since then it’s been raining rather heavily and the chancellor used an awayday to Cardiff to explain that, though everything was still absolutely fine, the roof repairs would have to be put on hold indefinitely as the economy was in danger of going tits up within the year thanks to a Sino-Corbynista global conspiracy. Or something like that.

     

It's not news to me

The Independent reports:

Fried breakfast lovers faced are rejoicing as black pudding has reportedly joined the ranks of kale, blueberries and pomegranate as a superfood.

The blood sausage, traditionally eaten with a full English breakfast, is being celebrated as a great source of iron, potassium, calcium and magnesium. 

Both the MailOnline and the Evening Standardare among publications to report that black puddings, which generally contain pork blood and oatmeal, are going to be an it-food of 2016.

But the king of black puddings is Stornoway Black Pudding.  You can buy by mail order here.

 

READ MO

A contradiction in terms?

David Cameron on the EU referendum:

“My intention is that at the conclusion of the renegotiation, the government should reach a clear recommendation and then the referendum will be held. It is the nature of a referendum that it is the people, not the politicians, who decide.

“And, as indicated before Christmas, there will be a clear government position, but it will be open to individual ministers to take a different personal position while remaining part of the government.”

Not entirely clear how there can be "a clear government position" if some ministers take one position while others take a different stance.  But then, words mean what Cameron says they mean ... it's black and white, innit?

 

Quote of the day

From The Times (here):

The difference between craft beer and real ale is easy to spot. Craft beer is sipped by young men with beards and six-packs for stomachs. Real ale is supped by older men with beards and party sevens for waistlines.

And that’s about it. Oh, and craft beer is stupidly expensive.

Alright, I have a beard and the waistline is not what it once was, but that's no reason to dwell on the matter ...

Music of the week

Amazing Grace:



 

Only an excuse?

If you have a spare half an hour, this is vaguely amusing:



 

How daft can you get?

Asking for trouble?  The Times reports:

Texans are now allowed to carry handguns in holsters on their hip for the first time since the days of the Wild West — the latest relaxation of firearms laws in a country suffering a seemingly endless spate of mass shootings.

The Lone Star state may be synonymous with pistol-toting cowboys, but for more than a century its residents were banned from openly carrying handguns. That changed yesterday; a move that symbolises a nationwide drift towards more gun-friendly laws.

The Sandy Hook school shootings in 2012, in which 20 children and six adults were murdered by a mentally ill man, provoked national outrage and calls for stricter firearms controls — but Congress rejected a bill the following year that would have expanded background checks to all gun sales, including those at gun shows and over the internet, which are exempt.

   

Quote of the day

From The Times (here):

For anyone surprised that a Carry On star with a colourful past is now a dame, the tweeter @NickMotown argued: “Many believe Barbara Windsor should’ve had a damehood years ago for services to innuendo. Nice to see someone’s finally given her one.”

Ho, ho, ho ...

 

At last, the last Last Call

Still not Last Call

 

Not Last Call

 

Water, water, everywhere ...

h/t - Helen/Jill

Quote of the day

From The Independent (here):

... let us roll back a few months to build-up to the 2015 general election. The political consensus was the exact opposite of the one that forms now in response to floods. The key test for the parties was how little they would spend if elected. Imagine if Ed Miliband had pledged to invest significantly more in flood defences as he sought to prove he was a responsible leader in the early months of this year. All hell would have broken loose, in a political rather than climate sense.

George Osborne would have popped up to declare that once again a Labour government planned to spend recklessly. Most newspapers would have screamed that Miliband was an irresponsible spender. Newsnight would have staged a debate between two pundits agreeing that the pledge on flood defences showed Labour had still not learned from past spending sins and would never win an election until it did. 

Misuse of the honours system

From The Mail Online:

Arise, Dame Babs! Eastenders and Carry On star Barbara Windsor heads New Year honours list 

From The Sunday Times:

LYNTON CROSBY, David Cameron’s election guru, will receive a knighthood this week in an award that will provoke a fresh row over cronyism in the honours system.

Just as well that, once again, I turned it down ...

Music of the week

They didn't look like this in the 1960s - but, then again, neither do I :

Where is Rudolf?

- replaced by robots:

'Cos it's that time of year ...

A (not very Christmassy) cartoon for the young at heart:

Remember Afghanistan?

It has rather been blown off the headlines by Syria and Libya.  But all the familiar villains are in play: Taliban, Al-Quaeda, ISIS, a corrupt and incompetent local administration.  And US and British special forces are still involved.  The Guardian comments:

Obama’s decision in October to halt the withdrawal of the remaining 9,500 US troops showed he no longer believed his own rhetoric about the ability of the Afghan army and police to maintain security. Dismayingly, the elected government of the president, Ashraf Ghani, like that of Hamid Karzai before it, has proved incompetent, divided, and mired in corruption.

Now the US is stuck. It cannot leave entirely and it cannot escalate. Behind the bland White House press statements, it seems plain Obama has not the foggiest idea what to do next. 

   

Santa comes to Madrid

The dismal science

Whither the economy?  The Guardian cannot make up its mind:

The optimistic way of looking at 2015 is to see it as the pivot between the long hangover that followed the Great Recession and a new era of strong growth marked by stricter control of financial markets, a new wave of inventions, and the move towards a cleaner, greener economy following the deal on climate change reached in Paris earlier this month.

The pessimistic way of looking at 2015 is to see it as a brief interlude between one crisis and the next, marked by the steady descent into deflation, populism and protectionism. Seen from this perspective, the underlying problems of the global economy – inequality, debt and financial market excess – have not gone away.

Is there a middle way?  Was 2015 simply another stage in the endless process of muddling through?

 
 

By their own words shall you know them

Idiots?  The Sunday Times reports:

LIAM FOX declares today that Britain should leave the European Union, delivering a significant blow to David Cameron’s hopes of winning Tory backing for his renegotiation with Brussels.

...

Fox warned Cameron he would spark civil war and damage his premiership if the leadership treated Eurosceptics as “idiots” during the referendum campaign.

He writes: “Treating the views of others with respect will be key to our ability to govern effectively for the rest of the decade.

“Those who wish to remain in the EU are not ‘unpatriotic’ and those who wish to leave are not ‘idiots’.”

On the other hand, nor are they entirely sensible ...

 

Photo of the week - Cameron at the EU summit

He really should not walk around with his hands in his pockets.  As my mother told me when I was a lad, it is the sign of a scruff.  And if he tripped and fell over, he could do himself some serious damage ...

 

Music of the week

   

Not really reassuring?

Let us not be petty about it.  I'm sure (yeah, honestly, I think) that Mr Ashley will conduct a thorough investigation, maybe?

Sports Direct is to launch a review of all agency staff terms and conditions, which it said would be overseen personally by its founder Mike Ashley.

The move follows a Guardian investigation, which revealed how temporary warehouse workers at Britain’s biggest sportswear chain are subjected to an extraordinary regime of searches and surveillance. Undercover reporters also came up with evidence that thousands of workers were receiving effective hourly rates of pay below the minimum wage.

The company said on Friday: “Sports Direct always seeks to improve and do things better, listens to criticism and acts where appropriate. With that in mind, as noted above, the board has agreed that Mike Ashley shall personally oversee a review of all agency worker terms and conditions to ensure the company does not just meet its legal obligations, but also provides a good environment for the entire workforce. We expect him to start that work in the New Year.”

I mean, he wouldn't put profit above the well-being of his workers, would he?

 

His jaiket has fallen off the shoogly peg

Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get you.  The Special One is no longer special ...

 

Is she bovvered?

I don't suppose that the First Minister will be unduly upset.  The Times reports:

Donald Trump has rounded angrily on Nicola Sturgeon and “parochial” Scottish politics after losing the latest round in his bitter battle to prevent a wind farm being built beside his Aberdeenshire golf course.

Ms Sturgeon was denounced as “plain stupid” yesterday by the most senior aide to the Republican hopeful for the US presidency. She was accused of making a “rookie mistake” by stripping the tycoon of his membership of an official Scottish international business club.

Later, in a succession of interventions that deepened divisions between the property tycoon and ministers, the Scottish government was attacked as “foolish and small-minded” and Alex Salmond as “a has-been”.

As Mr Salmond will now attest, you cannot reason with a heidbanger like Trump ...

Talk is cheap

From Nick Boles, business minister, (here) on the iniquitous Sports Direct:

In what appeared to be a pointed warning to Sports Direct and Ashley, Boles added: “I don’t care how famous an employer is. I don’t care how well connected they are. I don’t care, frankly, how much money they have made. They need to obey the law. If they don’t obey the law, we will find them and disqualify directors if necessary.”

Sounds good but what we need to see is HM Revenue and Customs taking action.

   

Photo of the day

They could work for the BBC - it insists that its interviewers and commentators wave their hands about.

 

Music of the week

 

Whatever happened to the Santa Rally?

The FTSE 100:

 

Splitting legal hairs

Is the law an ass?  The BBC reports:

A legal action challenging the election of Lib Dem Orkney and Shetland MP Alistair Carmichael has failed.

Four constituents raised the action under the Representation of the People Act 1983, claiming he misled voters over a leaked memo before the election.

Judges said Mr Carmichael had told a "blatant lie" in a TV interview about when he had become aware of the memo.

But they ruled it had not been proven beyond reasonable doubt that he had committed an "illegal practice".

...

In the ruling, Lady Paton said Mr Carmichael had told a "blatant lie" in the Channel 4 interview - but that section 106 of the Representation of the People Act did not apply to lies in general.

"It applies only to lies in relation to the personal character or conduct of a candidate made before or during an election for the purpose of affecting that candidate's return," she said.

Make sense of that, if you will ...

   

Daft as a brush

Will he?  Won't he?  He says not:

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has said he will never leave the 2016 race despite widespread criticism of his remarks about Muslims.

Mr Trump told the Washington Post he would not step aside, no matter what.

The White House had said Mr Trump was "disqualified" from running after he said the US should ban Muslims from entering the country.

His comments, in the wake of a deadly terror attack in California, drew global condemnation.

Expect him to withdraw as a candidate before Christmas.


 

A war of attrition

All of the oil producers are bleeding:

Oil prices have slumped by 5% after the latest attempt by Saudi Arabia to kill off the threat from the US shale industry sent crude to its lowest level since the depths of the global recession almost seven years ago.

Signs of disarray in the Opec oil cartel prompted fears of a global glut of oil, wiping $2 off the price of a barrel of crude on Monday and leading to speculation that energy costs could continue tumbling over the coming weeks.

...

Saudi Arabia needs oil prices of $100 a barrel to balance its budget, but as the world’s biggest exporter of crude it is gambling that the low price will knock out the threat posed by so-called unconventional supplies, such as shale.

...

In a sign that US production could dip, Baker Hughes’ November data showed US rig count numbers down month-by-month by 31 to 760 rigs.

It's a race to the bottom.  Meanwhile, don't buy shares in oil companies but fill up your petrol tank ...

 

Quote of the day

From The Guardian (here):

Always check the small print. When the Environment Agency described the 2005 floods as “the worst in a lifetime”, the government would have done well to make sure just whose lifetime it was referring to: a human or a ferret. These things, like ferrets when they are alive, come back to bite you.

It was sod’s law that on the very day the prime minister had summoned the media to a school in Burton upon Trent to boast about how well his government was delivering on its responsibilities, he was forced into a reverse-ferret over flood defences. “We set out in the autumn statement a historic six-year funding deal with record sums going into flood defences,” he said gamely, as if the mere fact that he had planned to spend all this money should have been enough to stop the flood waters rising.

Yet again, Cameron fails to understand the difference between an announcement and an achievement.

 
 

Between a rock and a hard place

Despite years and years of commissions and reviews, the Prime Minister continues to dither over what to do about airport capacity in London and the South-East.  The BBC reports:

It looks like the major decision on whether to build a new runway at Heathrow or Gatwick is going to be delayed for at least six months.

Senior sources very close to the process have told the BBC that there needs to be more "confidence building" about the environmental impact of a new runway at Heathrow, if the government backs it.

And that means yet another review.

And that expansion at Gatwick will not be ruled out.

One source told me that keeping both options on the table means that the airport operators can have their feet "held to the fire" over dealing with environmental concerns.

More likely that Cameron simply cannot make up his mind.  On the on hand, he would be seriously aggravating all those Tory voters, MPs and mayoral hopefuls living in the shadow of Heathrow (and going back on his promise that there would be no new Heathrow runway "no ifs or buts"), if he were to approve development at Heathrow.  On the other hand, to deny Heathrow a new runway would seriously offend the powerful business lobby and his Tory donor pals.

The path of least resistance?  Kick it into the long grass for another six months or so, at least until the London mayoral election is over.

Music of the week

If you have a heart (and other organs) to donate (and if you live in Scotland), you may register here.

 

No end in sight

On and on and on.  No exit strategy.  They avoided any mention of this before the parliamentary debate.  The Sunday Times reports:

MICHAEL FALLON, the defence secretary, admitted this weekend that there was a risk of civilian casualties from the RAF’s bombing campaign in Syria, saying: “War is a messy business.”

As he announced an increase in missions with the RAF moving to round-the-clock bombing, Fallon also warned the public to be prepared for “setbacks” in a campaign that could last for years. This included the nightmare scenario of an ­aircraft being brought down over Isis-controlled territory.

His admission may alarm critics of the war. The government had previously hailed the accuracy of its precision Brimstone missiles and bombs and claimed there had not been a single reported civilian casualty from 15 months of airstrikes in Iraq.

 

Weapons porn

The BBC indulges itself:

We watched the orange/blue glow from the engine afterburners of a pair of Tornados disappear into the night sky. Each aircraft was carrying three 500lb Paveway bombs.

Less than an hour later, they were followed by a second pair loaded with the same weapons.

The use of high precision Paveway bombs, rather than the Brimstone missile, suggests they were hitting static rather than moving targets.

We waited for the first pair of Tornados to return to base. They landed after just over three hours in the air. As they taxied on the runway, it was clear to see their bombs were missing.

I think that we would have heard - probably with lurid pictures- if they done anything either useful or destructive.

 

Pass the sickbag, Alice

Those ten goals

Savour every one:



 

Quote of the day

The Guardian summarises the state of play after Monday's blood-letting in the Labour Party:

... for the time being, the civil war in the party cools down again – until the next eruption of hostilities. Thus is confirmed a strange rule of Labour chaos, familiar from periods of dysfunction under Gordon Brown and Ed Miliband: just when it looks as if things cannot possible carry on like this, they do.