22 February 2012

Quote of the day

From the Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, a Mr Charlie Bean (here):
"Someone with a £100,000 pension pot, who could have expected that to yield an annual pension of a little under £7,000 three years ago, would now get just under £6,000. That is a rather substantial income loss. But it is only part of the story," he said.
"Those pension funds will typically have been invested in a mix of bonds and equities. The rise in asset prices as a result of QE also raises the value of the pension pot, providing an offset to the fall in annuity rates."
He added that pensioners should not expect to be immune to the downturn. While savers have been hit by record low interest rates, working households have been squeezed by a 7.5pc fall in real incomes, compared with where they would have otherwise been, as well as rising unemployment.
"Real household income declined a total of 2.5pc in the two years after output troughed, whereas in normal conditions it might have been expected to rise about 5pc in that time," Mr Bean said.
He added: "Savers have every right to feel aggrieved at losing out; after all, they did nothing to cause the financial crisis. But neither did most of those in work, who have seen a substantial squeeze in their real incomes. And unemployment, particularly among the young, has risen. There have been few winners over the past few years." 
Well I can think of a few winners, notably those damn bankers who despite having caused the problem did very nicely on their bonuses.

But Mr Bean should reflect on his attitude.  Reductions in income, whether of pensioners or workers, are not an academic exercise in distributing the pain.  They cause real misery for many people.  Not that Mr Bean would understand ...

 

21 February 2012

Where's the celebration?

Don't they believe in this, ahem, wonderful euro agreement?  The UK, French and German stock markets are all down this morning, while the euro-dollar exchange rate is more or less unchanged from yesterday.

Or have they learned the hard way that euro deals are apt to disintegrate after a day or two?

  

20 February 2012

Rubbing their noses in it

Yes, it's the big day for Greece when the Eurozone finance ministers will (probably) agree to the bailout.  But don't get too excited; it will only be a provisional agreement, in that the Dutch, Finnish and German parliaments have to endorse the arrangements over the next week or two, before it can be put into effect.

What will be interesting will be the attempts of Brussels (and Frankfurt) to maintain control of the situation in Greece.  The escrow account deal seems certain to be adopted, thus ensuring that there will be no hanky-panky once the funds have been transferred.  There are also likely to be demands for a permanent Troika presence in Athens whose purpose will be to keep the Greek government's nose to the grindstone.

Thus the EU will have established its first colony ...

19 February 2012

The snake in the tunnel

Ms Pagano in The Independent thinks that there may be a plan B in the offing:
... the markets are convinced that the politicians are working out a managed default that would allow Greece to devalue but stay within the euro, a new "soft" euro band; for those with long memories, not unlike the old exchange rate mechanism. This would allow Greece to devalue by up to 25 per cent and continue using the euro note, but a Greek one stamped with its insignia, thus keeping pride intact too.
It's impossible to know whether such a plan is being hatched, but the markets are usually pretty good at smelling these things out; if it happens, August is the most likely month. No one is going to admit to a Plan B as it would have to be conducted in secrecy with the other eurozone central banks over a weekend, and announced first thing on a Monday to avoid a flight of capital out of the country. The Greek banks would have to be recapitalised, a floor would have to be put under corporate and household debt. Such an arrangement has the benefit of allowing Portugal and Spain to opt out too into a more flexible band, should they need to. And hey presto, you then have a northern "hard" euro area of Germany, Austria, Finland, Netherlands – maybe France and Italy – and trading can start competitively. 
Sensible idea.  But far too sensible for the muddle-headed bureaucrats in Brussels and Frankfurt?

  

18 February 2012

It comes to us all

The sense that all the body parts are not quite working as they should.  The recognition that there are some pastimes - jogging, dancing, standing at the bar - which are no longer tenable.  The occasional feeling that a quiet night in is infinitely preferable to a wild night out.  The understanding that there are limits to the skills of the medical profession.

Ian Jack in The Guardian identifies one aspect of the problem:
Men tend to come to pills quite late in life. For our first 50 or 60 years, what has a chemist's shop meant to us? Toothpaste, shampoo, Calpol when the kids were small (or even, in our own impossibly distant youth, an attractive drawer marked "Liquorice"). Certainly, we've been aware of another kind of man in the queue – a shakier-looking or more breathless-sounding man, perhaps leaning on a stick or sitting on a chair opposite the pharmacy counter where an assistant in a white coat is about to deliver him a bulky paper bag with words such as: "Here you are, Mr Mackenzie, that'll last you 'til next month." But what were such men to us, who wanted only Euthymol? Then suddenly one day we are … not that other kind of man, not exactly, not yet, but certainly more aware that becoming that other kind of man isn't so impossible.
A bulky paper bag with a prescription form attached awaits us. The pills have begun. To women, a regime of pills may be no big deal in a life that may have been governed since the age of 16 by the contraceptive pill; and women, to risk a generalisation, are less alarmist about medicine. But to many men, pills are a sign of vulnerability – sometimes the first sign. Cholesterol, hypertension, type-two diabetes: our 50-year-old selves were hardly aware of the prospect of them. And now 10 and more years later they come marching towards us with their little warning banners about heart attacks, a risk to be moderated by an unending commitment to pills.
Och well.  Onwards and upwards.  As long as I have my books and music, a fag and a glass of beer, life is still sweet.

  

16 February 2012

Quote of the day


Yes, it's our porridge-slurping Prime Minister:
"When the referendum on independence is over, I am open to looking at how the devolved settlement can be improved further.  And yes, that means considering what further powers could be devolved."
I think that we will need an elaboration of that promise before it is convincing.

Mervyn and the runaway train

Just occasionally, the newspapers offer a glimpse of explanation.  Is quantitative easing a Good Thing?  The Independent provides a metaphor:
The train is hurtling down a track towards five recklessly drunk people who are about to be killed. You are on a bridge under which it will pass, and you can delay it by enough for the drunks to move away by dropping a heavy weight in front of it. As it happens, there is a very trusting, very fat man next to you. Your only way to avert disaster is to push him over the bridge and on to the track, killing him to save five. Do you proceed?
Philosophers and others with too much time on their hands have been mulling this sort of thing for ages.
Sir Mervyn's runaway train is that even if QE does save the five on the track, the fat man – pensioners, savers – are being brutally mowed down.
Annuity rates are tragic. Savings returns are not much better.
QE is a transfer of wealth from the prudent to the drunk. But if Sir Mervyn hadn't put it in place, everyone might have suffered.
The point is that there are no "good" policies when it comes to the economy, merely ones that are the least bad available.
Well OK as far as it goes.  But what if you're the prudent fat man, relying on annuities or savings to keep you afloat?

Conversation of the week

Is this unduly cynical?  Probably not.
Osborne: I welcome Moody's assessment of the economy. It is a ringing endorsement for the government and shows we are right to continue to make cuts and put people out of work.
Cameron: Are you sure?
Osborne: Absolutely, Cams.
Cameron: Then how come you said the same thing about our handling of the economy when Standard & Poor's took us off negative watch two years ago?
Osborne: Because Hilto tells me to say every piece of bad news is a ringing endorsement.
Cameron: He says that to me, too.
Osborne: Don't blame me. I'm just a fairly dim public schoolboy who has never had a proper job, whom you made chancellor because we were both in the Bullers. I don't know any more about running the economy than you do.
Aye, and it's becoming obvious ...

The Argentine prince from over the water

Marina takes up the cause (although with Marina it's sometimes hard to tell) of Carlos:
In what moral universe could Carlos Tevez possibly be seen as an unlikely hero? The answer, needless to say, is this one. Within the football force field that envelops this septic isle, I find myself experiencing wildly misplaced admiration for the prodigal Manchester City striker, who this week returned from Argentina.
Tevez has spent the past three months in what is described as "self-imposed exile", which makes him sound a bit like a Shakespearean duke, as opposed to someone who got in a bate about warming up for a Champions League match. The Argentinian is estimated to have lost himself a staggering £9.3m in wages and fines over some warped point of non-principle, and against football's current backdrop, this stubborn two fingers to the cash takes on a sort of Bizarro-world heroism.
Whenever I watched him playing football on the telly, it always seemed to me that he gave 100% commitment to whichever side he was playing for, not something which could be said of all the football stars plying their trade in Manchester.

Songs of love and loss

RIP, then, Dory Previn.  I still have the Mythical Kings and Iguanas LP somewhere on my shelves.  Some great songs.  Two of the best can be found here.

15 February 2012

Obsession

Rangers in administration from Gizmo on Vimeo.

h/t to Norman

Quote of the day

The Daily Mash explains all:
DAVID Cameron is to launch a series of initiatives that will make being paralytic much safer and more convenient.
The prime minister wants Britain to stop worrying about alcohol poisoning and nasty head injuries and go out and get as drunk as it possibly can.
Mr Cameron will announce a series of 'drunk-safe' measures today including:
  • US style 'drunk tanks' where people can sleep it off in safety rather than adopting the foetal position in the middle of a busy road.
  • More police in A&E units to stop the utterly hammered from beating the hell out of each other.
  • And 'booze buses' manned by paramedics that will scour the streets looking for drunk people and then give them hot tea and a Pot Noodle.
Yeah, I could live with that ...

Political eloquence?

So is it "a reality check", as the Chancellor would have us believe, or is it "a wake-up call", as Labour asserts?  Does either mean anything, other than someone somewhere was A. imagining things or B. sleeping? 

Perhaps it is just an example of how politicians lazily leap towards the nearest cliche.

 

14 February 2012

And here's another one



Larry the cat at No 10.  So what makes him worthy of a photocall?  Has he caught any mice?  Nah, it's just another example of No 10's predilection for empty headlines.

(Hey, I'm in a bad mood this morning.)


  

Action this day

Trouble is, Cameron is always vowing action.  Today it's on whiplash insurance claims; yesterday it was on race relations in football.

But nothing ever happens.  Grab a headline or two, and then move on.

Greek tragedy

The Independent editorial gets it slightly wrong:
As things currently stand, Greece will receive the €130bn it needs to stave off a disorderly default and it will be able to write off €100bn of privately held debt. But the agreement has to be finalised by EU finance ministers in Brussels tomorrow; only then will the money be released.
Well no, actually.  There remain some significant details to be cleared up.  The Greek leaders need to give believable assurances that the agreement will be implemented; a missing 325 million euros of cuts need to be identified; and the German Bundestag (don't ask why) has to agree the arrangements on 27 February.  None of these is a given.

Oh, and the final humiliation, the funds will be paid into a special escrow account so that the troika can ensure that it is not misused.

On and on and on.  While Athens goes up in flames ...

13 February 2012

Music of the week

What?  You thought I'd forgotten?


Carla in bronze



Well no, I don't really see the lady as a poor Italian feather-plucker.


   

Stop digging

It's a classic!  The Independent reports:
Privately, Mr Cameron is deeply frustrated by the divisions within his party over the [health] reforms. At a recent meeting at No 10, he is said to have thumped a desk, saying: "We've not shed blood on these proposals not to go through with them."
Mr Cameron has to learn (obviously the hard way).  He is like a punter betting on a horse that keeps on losing; regardless of experience, because he has lost so much on the poor nag, he continues to invest in it in the foolish belief that it will come right in the end.  Perhaps it will, but it seems unlikely; better to cut his losses.

The use of diagrams




No, I do not understand what The Guardian is seeking to demonstrate - but it certainly makes for a pretty picture.

   

12 February 2012

The fine messes accumulate



Oh dear.  The Independent reports on the Health and Social Care Bill:
Almost two years in the making, the once eye-catching plan to take the axe to the NHS's bloated bureaucracy and hand power to family doctors has become a metaphor for Mr Cameron's worst failings as Prime Minister – lack of attention to detail, a hands-off management style, misplaced loyalty to old friends and a deep-rooted belief that shouting at the Despatch Box will silence one's critics.
One exasperated government strategist resorted to quoting Malcolm Tucker, the foul-mouthed spin doctor from The Thick of It, to sum up how bad things have become: "It is a fucking omnishambles." 
Tut tut.  How infra dig ...

At least it does not apply to Scotland.

The Black-Scholes equation

No, it's nothing to do with football.  But The Observer expects us to read and understand this kind of stuff on a Sunday morning:
The idea behind many financial models goes back to Louis Bachelier in 1900, who suggested that fluctuations of the stock market can be modelled by a random process known as Brownian motion. At each instant, the price of a stock either increases or decreases, and the model assumes fixed probabilities for these events. They may be equally likely, or one may be more probable than the other. It's like someone standing on a street and repeatedly tossing a coin to decide whether to move a small step forwards or backwards, so they zigzag back and forth erratically. Their position corresponds to the price of the stock, moving up or down at random. The most important statistical features of Brownian motion are its mean and its standard deviation. The mean is the short-term average price, which typically drifts in a specific direction, up or down depending on where the market thinks the stock is going. The standard deviation can be thought of as the average amount by which the price differs from the mean, calculated using a standard statistical formula. For stock prices this is called volatility, and it measures how erratically the price fluctuates. On a graph of price against time, volatility corresponds to how jagged the zigzag movements look.
Black-Scholes implements Bachelier's vision. It does not give the value of the option (the price at which it should be sold or bought) directly. It is what mathematicians call a partial differential equation, expressing the rate of change of the price in terms of the rates at which various other quantities are changing. Fortunately, the equation can be solved to provide a specific formula for the value of a put option, with a similar formula for call options.
It's quite put me off my bacon and eggs.

 

11 February 2012

Rugger

Oh yes, the BBC and the Six Nations.  All those questions.  Will Dallaglio manage to complete a statement, any statement, without a redundant "y'know"?  (Definitely not.)  Will John Inverdale again be wearing more lipstick than Gabby?  (Probably.)  Will Brian Moore keep his temper?  (Probably not.)

More sympathy; or less?

Yes, it's another group of over-privileged individuals feeling sorry for themselves.  The Independent reports:

The House of Lords is a sedate place where little disturbs the calm, but there are two major issues currently endangering their lordships' blood pressures.

One is the overcrowding caused by David Cameron's determination to stuff the upper house with political placemen and women. The other is their car park.
Driving to this otherwise desirable London club has become increasingly frustrating, not just because more peers means extra traffic, but because of the security.
Their lordships complain that those who drive in have to execute a large loop to get through security, while those arriving by taxi have too far to walk from the drop off point. 
Aye, it's a tough life being a peer of the realm ...

10 February 2012

Getting off the pot

When is a deal not a deal?  A. when it involves the Greeks; and B. when it involves EU politicians.  The Independent reports:

Greece yesterday unveiled a political deal over budget cuts that should unlock a €130bn (£109m) aid package and enable Athens to avoid a potentially catastrophic default next month. After a week of fraught negotiations between the three parties that make up Lucas Papademos' coalition government, the Prime Minister's office yesterday confirmed that agreement on €3.3bn of new spending cuts had been secured.

But there is still some way to go before the deal is finalised, as the chairman of the meeting of eurozone finance ministers said Greece has to identify an extra €325m in savings for 2012 in order to trigger the bailout.
Jean-Claude Juncker said the Greek parliament will also have to pass the full package of cuts and reforms on Sunday and party leaders have to make clear that they will back the measures after elections, due in April.
Come on guys, it's make your mind up time.  Kick the can down the road, one more time ...

Sympathy for the devil

Don't you feel sorry for the bankers and their miserable little bonuses?  The Independent reports:

"Banker and bonus bashing" by leaders of all three main political parties is undermining British business and harming the nation's image abroad, senior Labour figures have warned.

Alistair Darling, the former chancellor, and Lord Mandelson, the former business secretary, have joined an industry-led backlash against the attacks on executives in line for big bonuses by David Cameron, Ed Miliband and Nick Clegg. Political pressure forced Stephen Hester, the RBS chief executive, and directors at Network Rail to surrender their bonuses and saw Fred Goodwin, the former RBS boss, stripped of his knighthood. One senior business figure said: "Mr Cameron should show leadership and stand up for business rather than follow the baying mob, even if it makes him unpopular."
In a sign that Downing Street may soften its line, it declined to urge restraint at Barclays Bank, which is today due to announce its bonuses, including one for its chief executive, Bob Diamond, who may be entitled to a multi-million-pound payment.
I beg to disagree.  Banker bashing is entirely justified and immensely satisfying.  These masters of the universe messed up big-time and caused enormous damage to everyone except themselves.  I refer you to Mr Dylan:
Let me ask you one question
Is your money that good
Will it buy you forgiveness
Do you think that it could
I think you will find
When your death takes its toll
All the money you made
Will never buy back your soul.

  

08 February 2012

CD of the year; hell, of the decade ...

I got no future
I know my days are few
The present's not that pleasant
Just a lot of things to do
I thought the past would last me
But the darkness got that too
Yeah, the new Leonard CD* arrived this morning.  Great, terrific, magic, what can I say?


*  We oldies remained thirled to CDs.  I believe that downloading from the interweb is the current fashion, but I never learned how.

06 February 2012

Literary snobbery

The Guardian chooses to have a go at us Kindle readers:
Most new Kindle owners buy an avalanche of classics in their initial excitement. All of Trollope for £1.99! All of Dickens for £3! But are they actually read?
...

The reading public in private is lazy and smutty. E-readers hide the material. Erotica sells well. My own downmarket literary fetish is male-oriented historical fiction (histfic). Swords and sails stuff. I'm happier reading it on an e-reader, and keeping shelf space for books that proclaim my cleverness.
Publishers say that there is little real change going on, just substitution: those who buy genre books start buying digitally instead. I'm not so sure it is wise to underestimate the boundless idiocy of the unobserved reading public.
Though the writer's argument is undermined by her earlier comments (in the same article):
Amazon, the dominant player, is secretive with its numbers. As the company revealed its mixed results for 2011 last week, all its UK division would say was that ebook sales over the past three months were up five-fold on the equivalent period last year. No actual data.
Amazon has started supplying data to Nielsen BookData in the US for the Wall Street Journal's bestseller lists, but the information is limited. UK publishers know their own genre titles do best as Amazon tells them this privately; across the industry there is nothing to go on.
But why allow the absence of hard data to invalidate literary prejudice?

Oh, and for the record my Kindle includes Dickens, Conan Doyle, Zola and Dumas; all of which have been read.  (Even if I am at present working my way through Martin's Song of Ice and Fire ...)

05 February 2012

It's only the weather

Looking out my window this morning, I saw no snow or ice, merely a touch of frost. The cars and the buses rolled along unhindered.  Nevertheless, according to the newspaper headlines, I was deceived:
The Telegraph:

Severe snow and ice bring Britain to a standstill

 The Independent:

Travel warnings as snow blankets UK

The Observer:

Big chill set to last several days as Britain is reduced to a go-slow

The Mail on Sunday:

Snow-go Britain! UK hit by up to six inches leaving hundreds stuck on M40 (and Heathrow cancelled flights BEFORE flakes even fell)

Ah, now I see; it's just the usual southron English winter panic.
 

04 February 2012

Just another thought

Mr Peter Oborne in The Telegraph is known for occasionally putting forward seemingly crackpot ideas, but this seems worth pursuing:
... by the Chancellor’s own logic, RBS is a prime candidate to be broken up.
More encouragingly still, most of its businesses are fundamentally sound, and the original Royal Bank of Scotland still exists. It was granted a charter by George I as long ago as 1727 and is one of the very rare British banks with the authority to issue its own bank notes. It is screaming out to be split off from its ruined parent organisation, recapitalised and sold to the public.
The same applies to Natwest. This is a first-class clearing bank acquired by the RBS group in a stock-market coup 10 years ago. Its reputation has been damaged thanks to its association with this humiliated group and it, too, urgently needs to be given back its independence. Exactly the same argument applies to the smaller banks that still belong to Mr Goodwin’s doomed business empire – The Ulster Bank, Child & Co, Adam & Company as well as Coutts, long standing bankers to the royal family.
These banks have well-known brand names and are part of a fine historical legacy that can only be fully restored by removal from the RBS state-owned morass. Finally, the same surely applies to RBS’s well-regarded insurance subsidiaries, Direct Line and Churchill. Indeed, it is impossible to understand what benefit these businesses gain from being run by the former Credit Suisse investment banker Stephen Hester, whatever the size of his bonus.
Why not?  Where is the logic of retaining them under the baleful domination of RBS?  And it would encourage competition.

Much the same applies to Lloyds.  It might be difficult (but surely not impossible) to disentangle the decent bits of the Bank of Scotland, the Halifax and Scottish Widows from the Lloyds/TSB operation and put them back into the private sector.  But why keep them all together?

The government is in control of both these super-banks (or not so super banks); if Osborne would pull the finger out and get on with it, we could then look critically at the bits that were left and plot a way forward.

03 February 2012

Music of the week

La nostalgie de la boue:

Worth a try

But it can take a while.  The Independent  advises:
First, run a disk clean-up (Start>programs>accessories>system tools) which will remove temporary files and all sorts of other junk from your hard drive.
Secondly, disable any programmes you don't need that automatically start when your computer is switched on (start>programmes>startup).
Finally defrag your hard disk (start>programs>accessories>system tools>disk defragmenter). This will take several hours – you may want to leave it overnight – but it will speed up performance by more logically storing data on your hard drive.
If you are running a Mac make sure to clean up your dashboard as it eats up your machine's memory. Fire up the activity monitor (applications folder>utilities>activity monitor), if you see a lot of dashboard applications high up the list, consider disabling any that you don't absolutely need.

Bit of a comedown if it's no?

Since when did the Crown Prosecution Service make a televised production out of a decision whether or not to prosecute?  But The Guardian reports:
David Cameron has been making contingency plans for a limited cabinet reshuffle as the Crown Prosecution Service disclosed that it will announceon Friday whether it will charge the energy secretary, Chris Huhne, over allegations he avoided a speeding penalty.
Keir Starmer, the director of public prosecutions, will give his decision on Huhne, and his former wife, Vicky Pryce, in a televised announcement at 10am.
I suppose that everyone must have a moment in the limelight?

   

02 February 2012

The foot in mouth man

Where do the republicans find them?  The Washington Post reports:
With his Florida victory in hand, Mitt Romney (R-1 percent) did a series of round-robin interviews with the television morning shows. But he skittered way off course during his interview on CNN. I kid you not, the man who looks like he fired your spouse, foreclosed on your house and shipped your kid’s job overseas told anchor Soledad O’Brien, “I’m not concerned about the very poor.”
This is the man whose linguistic dexterity had already baffled us:
... this former governor of Massachusetts, whose net worth hovers in the $250 million range and who is the son of a wealthy former car company chief, has the uncanny ability to muddle his message by repeatedly sticking his ample silver foot in his mouth. “I’m not concerned about the very poor” comes a week after Romney said, while standing in front of a foreclosed Florida home, “Now, the banks aren’t bad people.” And that came 15 days after he said, “I like being able to fire people who provide services to me.”
Makes Sarah Palin look sensible ...
 

01 February 2012

We're not cooking with gas

All I wanted was a nice pot roast.  A chunk of beef, an onion, some swede and carrot, a few shallots, wine and beef stock.  What could go wrong?  But it's not that easy with a ceramic hob.  You can't set the gas at a peep.

But Delia said it would be alright in the oven.  Three hours at 140 degrees.  OK, but the casserole pot was too tall for the top oven, so it had to go in the bottom oven.  But the bottom oven is a fan oven.  So I went with three and a half hours at 130 degrees.

Jeez, life is a trial.  But it turned out OK.  Even so, I'll have heartburn all evening ...

Bait and switch

Convenient timing.  Shortly after his dithering over the Hester bonus, and simultaneously with the report to Parliament of his EU climbdown, Cameron gets to pose as a decisive banker critic by announcing the undubbing of poor old Fred Goodwin. 

Anyone else in line to lose an honour?  Probably not until Cameron gets into further trouble.

31 January 2012

Nos moutons

Oh well, if we absolutely must discuss yesterday's EU Summit ...  Helpfully, The Guardian has a summary of the main conclusions:
• 25 countries endorsed the fiscal pact. They agreed to enshrine balanced budget legislation into their national law, with annual structural deficits capped at 0.5% of GDP. Transgressors face penalties of 0.1% of GDP, with fines being added to Europe's bailout fund, the European Stability Mechanism (ESM). The UK and the Czech Republic declined to sign.
The new Treaty on Stability, Coordination and Governance (SCG) will come into force once it has been passed by the parliaments of at least 12 countries that use the euro.
• Euro area leaders confirmed that they will reassess whether the ESM, and its forerunner the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), have sufficient resource. They still plan to bring the ESM into force in July 2012.
• EU leaders agreed to a new drive to stimulate growth and create employment across the region, particularly for young people. Unused development funds will be used to create jobs. They also vowed to help small and medium enterprises to get access to credit, and to use the Single Market as a key driver for Europe's economic growth.
• Leaders also opposed the suggestion that a 'commissioner' should be installed in Greece to ovesee its budget decisions. French president Nicolas Sarkozy warned that this would be undemocratic, as "the recovery process in Greece can only be enacted by the Greeks themselves."
All a bit vague.  As usual, the details will be sorted out (or not) later.  No real sign of addressing the competitiveness issue.  Nor of what will happen when the troika report that Greece has only made limited progress towards the required austerity regime.

The only other point concerns Dave Cameron's acquiescence to the use of ECJ being used to assess which euro member states have been naughty boys when it comes to the observance of the new treaty.  Which rather invalidates the point of last month's veto.

This is going to drag on and on and on ...

Another fine mess

So what, exactly, is the coalition government's current position on bonuses in the public or quasi-public sector?  Or even, come to that, in the private sector?  The problem is not going to disappear.  As The Guardian reports:
... the government needs to decide how to treat pay and bonuses at nationalised and semi-nationalised companies that wish to recruit executives from the private sector. In RBS's case, there will be a row every January until the bank is sold – indeed, there will be more argy-bargy within weeks when executives below board level are handed their winnings. Doing nothing, while praying that Ed Miliband doesn't table a Commons motion, is not a policy.

  

29 January 2012

Dear Diary

Stephen Hester writes:
I wish I’d never taken the bloody job in the first place.  If I’d known that saving the biggest bank in the country would make me public enemy no 1, you wouldn’t have seen me for dust.

Bad enough that the maximum bonus to which I am entitled this year should be limited to a paltry couple of million, but Cameron had to play to the gallery and limit it to less than 50% of last year’s. So I’m to get £968,000 - huh, I don’t get out of bed for that kind of money.

And, now, that bastard Hampton has announced that he’ll give up his own bonus.  I do all the work and my snivelling coward of a chairman decides to pander to the Daily Mail, thus making me look even more like a money-grubbing bloated capitalist.

I tell you, it’s more than a banker can bear.  Well stuff them all.  I’ll give them another three months and then quietly resign.  They can search for some other patsy (if they can find one) to take the reins.  And I’ll sell all my RBS shares, because inevitably it’s destined for the knacker’s yard.


  

Just a thought ...

... from Victoria Coren in The Observer (here):
... the New Testament, if read as an economic tract, is innately rather socialist. It's all sharey-sharey. Jesus wanted everyone to get a bit of bread and fish. He was all about the divvying up and the helping one's neighbour. So, if Christianity is going to make itself heard on tax-and-spend policies, it has got to lean towards spreading the spoils around.
There's not much the bishops can do about that. Their hands are tied. The gospels say what they say. If their lordships wanted to support the idea that handing out bread and fish is bad for people because it demotivates them from doing their own baking and fishing, they'd really have to leave the pulpit and get a job on a tabloid.
And while the Stephen Hesters of this world, already paid 1.2 million loaves a year of arguably public bread, are being given fish factories as bonuses, the church can hardly join in with a move to reduce herring portions for the hungry. It would look ridiculous.

  

27 January 2012

A fair question?

Well it has the endorsement of UK Ministers and the London media.






Hat tip to Caley Merc.

The good, the bad and the ugly

How the rich folk live, as reported in The Independent.

Here:
Redknapp said: "I have a big problem, I can't write, so I don't keep anything. I'm the most disorganised person, I am ashamed to say, in the world, I can't work a computer, I don't know what an email is, I have never sent a fax and I've never sent a text message."
..
I'm disorganised, completely and utterly disorganised, but I'm not into fiddling tax. I pay a fortune to my accountant to look after me. He writes the cheques for me and my wife. He pays my bills and that's where I am."
And here:
Mr Rothschild and Lord Mandelson were whisked in a private jet to the Siberian town of Abakan, where Mr Deripaska owns a chalet and smelting plant. Peter Munk, a Canadian gold magnate, and Sebastian Taylor, a friend of Mr Rothschild, also joined the group.
Taking the stand earlier this week, Mr Rothschild said his friends were taken to a traditional sauna, where they were whipped with birch leaves before plunging themselves into icy water.
"It is the best way in the world to beat jet lag and everything else," he said. "It was incredibly enjoyable. Everyone woke up the next day feeling revitalised and excited about the day."
And here:
The state-backed Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) will hand its chief executive, Stephen Hester, an annual bonus of £963,000, it revealed last night.
RBS, which has been under huge pressure from the government to curb awards, said its decision was designed to “recognise tangible achievement in the business and protect the interest of our shareholders, including of course the UK taxpayer”.
It is handing Hester a bonus of 3.6m shares, or 60% of his maximum entitlement, on top of his £1.2m salary.
What a dull boring life I lead ...

26 January 2012

The yo-yo of 11 Downing Street

Yesterday, I suggested (rather frivolously) that, in the light of the contraction in gdp, the Chancellor might look out Plan B.  And, lo, my prayers have been answered.  The Independent reports:
George Osborne is considering tax cuts for low and middle earners in his March Budget in an attempt to kick-start growth after figures showed that the economy is contracting.
The Chancellor will consider speeding up the Coalition's plan to raise the personal tax allowance to £10,000 a year by 2015. The move would help families in the "squeezed middle" and enable them to spend more – in the hope this would get the economy moving again.
The reports remain a bit vague about how these tax cuts should be paid for, but let's not kick a gift horse in the teeth.

25 January 2012

Graph of the day

From The Spectator (here):
Depressing, isn't it?  Now where did I put that Plan B?

Looking after the pennies

So the outstanding debt of the UK Government has reached the sum of £1 trillion.  That's £1,000,000,000,000, I think.  Seems a lot.

But The New Statesman has a handy graph to put it in perspective:


Expressed as a percentage of gdp, the debt may be higher than in the last 40 years, but lies well below the position during the period from the Great War to the 1960s when, if you remember, we never had it so good.

24 January 2012

Music of the week

A song about dirt:


We're all in this together (part 37)

So, at the top end, the fatcats are facing a strict cap on their outrageous salaries, regardless of how many children they have.  The coalition government are determined to deal firmly with the problem of excessive remuneration, even if it means that the bloated capitalists have to move house to a cheaper mansion out in the suburbs.  And if their spoiled kids have to move to a cheaper school, then so be it.  It’s a something for something society.

Meanwhile, at the bottom end, recipients of housing benefit and child benefit will simply be encouraged to desist from claiming the absolute maximum possible.  The government will insist that the Department of Work and Pensions publishes benefit rates, so that there is full transparency.  The government justifies such a relatively ineffective response by pointing out that the future economy of the country depends upon the legions of the unemployed and the low paid and it does not want to upset them.

Or have I got this the wrong way round?  


  

23 January 2012

Something to cheer you up


 Oh dear, oh dear.  The Independent reports:
Subsidence caused by work on Parliament's underground car park and the construction of new Tube tunnels have led to cracks appearing in walls around the Houses of Commons and Lords, with Big Ben's bell tower leaning 18in at its peak.
There are even fears the building could sink into the Thames.
A metaphor for our times ...

Quote of the day

By Mitt Romney, the cipher in a suit, as reported in The Independent :
"I have emotion and passion. I'm going to show the passion that I have when it comes naturally," he told Fox News.
If you need to say you've got it, you probably don't.


20 January 2012

Quote of the day

Voldemort Lansley as reported in The Independent:
Mr Lansley told the BBC the legislation was essential in order to give nurses and doctors clinical leadership. He said: "[The RCN] used to be a professional association that was working with us on professional issues and will carry on doing that, but now the trade union aspect of the Royal College of Nursing has come to the fore, they want to have a go at the Government... about things like pay and pensions." He added: "It's a purely political operation."
Mr Lansley claimed the RCN and RCM supported the principles of the Bill. "What they are actually unhappy about is pay, pensions and jobs.
Surely a breach of etiquette: mere politicians are not usually permitted to attack nurses and midwives.  (Voldemort should remember that they are not train drivers or civil servants.)

 

The black knight

I willingly admit that the whole concept of knighthood is a nonsensical anachronism in the 21st century.  And I would certainly not defend the role of highly paid bankers in contibuting to the 2008 financial crash.

Nevertheless there is something deeply unsavoury about Cameron's rush to condemn Sir Fred Goodwin by asking the Forfeiture Committee to strip him of his knighthood.  This Governmet has been in office for 18 months; why at this point suddenly make a song and dance about Sir Fred?  Jumping on a passing populist bandwagon?  Toadying to The Daily Mail?  I refuse to believe that Cameron has succumbed to a fit of morality.

Heigh ho.  I suppose that, if awarding a knighthood (all that flummery with swords) is daft, taking one away is equally daft.  Now what other villains can we defenestrate?  Branson, anyone?

19 January 2012

Music of the week

For all the Alisons I ever knew:


Plastic underwear

Sounds uncomfortable?  But apparently it is the latest fashion in ski-wear.  The Independent reports:
The deeply competitive world of downhill skiing is being rocked by a heated dispute about plastic underwear and whether wearing such garments on the slopes gives racers an unfair aerodynamic advantage over their rivals.
The row erupted last week when the Slovenian skier Tina Maze finished second at a major Austrian event only to be accused afterwards of wearing banned plastic undergarments which might have given her an edge over her competitors.
I wonder how you iron it?

And, no, I'm sorry but I couldn't find a picture ...

18 January 2012

It's a non-starter



The Guardian reports:
The idea of a new international airport for London has taken a first step towards reality with news that the government plans to hold a formal consultation on proposals for a Thames estuary hub.
According to reports, David Cameron will announce a consultation by March – when the transport secretary, Justine Greening, will publish the government's broader aviation strategy.
Don't they know about the birds?  Millions of them?  To get caught in aero-engines?

Keep away from London during the Olympics

The Independent seems to be getting worked up about the perils of the Olympics.  First, on Monday they published this story:
Preparations are being made to deal with a possible epidemic of infectious disease during the London Olympics, with officials concerned at the prospect of an outbreak of unusual illnesses.
The Health Protection Agency has set up a monitoring system of hospital admissions and concerns raised with GPs, to alert doctors to the first signs of mass contagion. With athletes and spectators set to descend on Britain from across the world this summer, a huge public health campaign is also being launched to help prevent this occurring.
On the same day, there was another scare:
Olympic athletes could suffer impaired performance times and become ill as a result of London's unacceptably high levels of air pollution, leading respiratory scientists are warning.
Fears are growing that during the Games, beginning in July, athletes, who take in much more air than a sedentary person, will take in high levels of pollutants such as particulates, nitrogen dioxide and ozone, and could suffer pulmonary irritation, chest pain and decreased lung capacity.
And this morning, we read of yet another problem:
It is the issue that has nagged at the minds of the organisers of London 2012 from the very beginning: can they get people to the Games on time? And home again, while at the same time not condemning the inhabitants of the capital to two weeks of traffic jams and increasing frustration with the greatest sporting show on earth?
Locog – the London organising committee – may have its worst fears realised with a report today warning that the opening weekend of the Games could see a combination of circumstances leading to the capital's being caught in the "perfect traffic storm". The city will also have to cope with increased congestion of over 30 per cent throughout the Games, meaning journeys that will take up to a third longer.
All in all, it doesn't sound promising ...

16 January 2012

Well, that didn't take long

The Guardian reports:
British tennis's big day in Melbourne turned into a nightmare as Laura Robson, Elena Baltacha and Anne Keothavong followed Jamie Ward and Heather Watson in losing on the opening day of the Australian Open.

Tom Harris' downfall

Apparently, Tom Harris MP has been sacked as a Scottish Labour Party media adviser because of this:


Seems a bit harsh?

Update:  I meant the sacking was a bit harsh, not the video clip.

Joke of the day

From The Independent (here):
Mr Salmond told the BBC's Politics Scotland programme: "Sterling is not owned by George Osborne. Our position is, let's use sterling until we're able to take a decision on the euro."
UK ministers say Mr Salmond's position is flawed because interest rates would continue to be set by the Bank of England. They say that could leave a breakaway Scotland with less power than now because the Bank would no longer have to take account of economic conditions north of the border when setting interest rates. 
So Ministers believe that the Bank of England takes account of economic conditions in Scotland when setting interest rates.  Ha, ha, ha ...

The Scottish play

It may be somewhat disrespectful of Scottish politicians but Steve Bell's latest is pure dead brilliant.

14 January 2012

The Greek tragedy

It gets worse.  Yesterday, the discussions on the haircut were suspended (or collapsed, if you prefer).  The Independent reports:
... the fate of ordinary Greek citizens also resides in the unsentimental clutches of private sector financiers. Germany, the biggest single contributor to the EU/IMF Greek bailout, began pushing hard last year for something called "private sector involvement" in the bailout. This meant that the holders of Greek bonds would write down the value of their investments. Germany did not like the idea of pumping ever more money into Greece merely so that the country could pay out those funds to private bondholders. In October, a 50 per cent bondholder "haircut" was announced. Eurozone leaders agreed the deal with the Institute of International Finance (IIF), the lobbying group of the global banking industry.But the IIF only really speaks for the large banks of the continent. A number of small hedge funds have also bought up cheap Greek bonds and are refusing to take a haircut on their investment. So now there is a stand off. 
It is easy to blame the hedge funds, but they have to look after their own investors.  And, as they have insured the Greek bonds they have purchased, a voluntary haircut would invalidate that insurance.  You might as well blame others, as The Guardian did in this piece earlier in the week:
Before last summer, eurozone policy-makers swore blind that they would never countenance Greece failing to pay all of its debts in full. After finally accepting that that was impossible, they then asked if bankers would be good enough to knock 21% off the country's loans, rising over time to 40% and then 50%, or even a little more. Meanwhile, economists at the IMF estimate that Greece should actually have 75% wiped off its debt burden – and market prices indicate that figure should really be over 90%. But economic reality has been no match for the stranglehold bankers have on European politicians – who, by the way, swore last month that no other country would fail to pay its loans in full.
But regardless of where the fault lies, I cannot see any happy outcome.

Worse things happen at sea?

Every little helps.  The Independent reports:

A senior Tesco executive sold more than £200,000 of shares in the supermarket a week before its first profit warning in 20 years wiped nearly £5bn off its market value.
Noel "Bob" Robbins, the grocer's chief UK operating officer, offloaded 50,000 shares at 404.5p each on 4 January and pocketed £202,255. By selling them 10 days ago, he made nearly £44,000 more than he would have done had he sold them yesterday, after the profits warning led to a further fall in Tesco's stock.
Tesco said Mr Robbins, a long-serving employee, had done nothing wrong because he sold the shares outside a period restricted by rules governing trading in shares, and he was not in possession of any "price-sensitive information" at the time.
You may find it difficult to believe that the chief UK operating officer had no knowledge of a disappointing festive season for the retailer and would therefore have been unable to predict the contents of the profits warning this week and the likely impact on the share price.   But, if Tesco says that it's alright, we must trust them, must we not?

13 January 2012

What's a shareholder to make of it?

Confusingly, both of these comments on Tesco's travails are from The Independent:

Here:
... as one of the country's best-known retailers often says privately: pre-tax profit is the only figure that really matters.
It is here that Philip Clarke, Tesco's under-pressure boss, will again be top dog, with full-year profits up to about £3.6bn.
The world's third-biggest retailer is looking a bit pasty after a sickly Christmas in the UK, but by this bottom-line health check, its muscles are still far bigger than anyone else's and, judging by its comments yesterday, is up for the fight ahead.
And here:
It's not just that yesterday's sales update (don't call it a profit warning, plead the spinners) was bad.
It's that several wheels seem in danger of coming off at once. The Big Price Drop didn't work.
Other offers, Double Points, Discount Brands, seem unnecessarily fiddly, and consumers have noticed. If the UK profits fall, Mr Clarke doesn't have the money to invest in getting America right. So he scraps the US adventure. Shareholder confidence plummets and Asda takes advantage. Tesco flounders. It could happen.
Or perhaps not?


   

Conversation of the week

As reported in The Guardian:

Cameron: If you Scots want to have a referendum, you'll have it when I say so.
Scotland: Screw you, pal. We'll have it when we want.
Every political commentator: I say! We're heading for the gravest constitutional crisis since, er ... since the last one.
Everyone else: We really couldn't care less if Scotland gets its independence ...
Cameron: I tend to agree ... It might make it a little harder to get out on to the grouse moor, but as there's only one Tory MP north of the border, it will be easier to stay in power.
Scotland: So why are you getting so worked up about it?
Cameron: Because it takes everyone's mind off the fact that the economy is still flat-lining and we don't really have a clue what to do about it.

Georgie boy wags his tail

A not so helpful intervention.  The Guardian reports:
George Osborne made his first public intervention in the debate on Scottish independence when he told the Scottish people that they might end up adopting the euro.
...
The SNP has said in the past that it would see euro membership as a long-term aspiration for an independent Scotland, though this would have to be approved in a referendum. All new member states are obliged to give an undertaking that they will join the euro when they meet the Maastricht criteria. 
But would Scotland be a new member state?  There is no real precedent for this situation.  Arguably, the dissolution of the UK would divide a member state into two new entities but, as both these entities had formed part of an existing member state, there should be no provision necessary for new membership as such.  (I accept that there would need to be treaty adjustments but that would not necessarily ential the admission process.)

Furthermore, what would be the position of the England plus rump?  If Scotland had to apply formally for EU membership status, would not England have to do likewise?  Thus the potential requirement to join the euro might apply to both Scotland and England.

Finally, this is not going to happen in the near future.  The referendum is likely to take place in 2014 and, if independence was chosen, there would be a lot of subsequent negotiation to hammer out the details. Who knows what the relative positions of the euro and the pound sterling would be after 2015?

11 January 2012

Compare and contrast

1.  Hamish Macdonell on the Spectator website (here):

What some in the UK Government seem to have forgotten is that, because this is such an important issue for the Scottish Nationalists, they have analysed and prepared for every twist and turn of the debate. In what is now a game of political chess, Mr Salmond has correctly forecast his opponent’s moves before they have even decided what they are going to do.
What appears likely to happen now is this: Mr Salmond will pass his referendum bill through the Scottish Parliament and he will challenge the UK Government to take it to the court. If it does go to court, he will then accuse the UK Government of subverting the democratic will of the Scottish people and, as far as many Scots are concerned, he will have a point.
The UK Government has approached this late, it has approached it half-heartedly, and it is now being outplayed at every stage.
2.   Alan Cochrane on the Telegraph website (here):

The braggadocio was still there — he doesn’t leave home without it — but there was no doubt that Alex Salmond blinked first yesterday in his referendum stand-off with David Cameron and the Coalition government over breaking up Britain.
Twenty-four hours after being reported missing and leaving all of his defence in the capable hands of Nicola Sturgeon, his deputy, Wee Eck returned to the fray yesterday and, although there is still a long way to go, there were clear indications that he is beginning to cave in to Westminster’s demands.
He announced what he had thus far refused to do — that he wants to hold his referendum in autumn 2014, nearly three years from now.
He said he would not be dictated to by London but he also detected a change in tone from Westminster. In which case, he added: “We won’t have too many fights.”Just to show what a good democrat he is, he announced his preference for autumn 2014 — St Andrew’s Day on Nov 30, perhaps — not to Holyrood, not to his party’s activists — but to Sky News, in a desperate publicity stunt to ensure that he was not upstaged by events at Westminster. He had also convened a Scottish cabinet meeting, which his aides insisted was “scheduled” and coincidental with the pressure being put on him by David Cameron to come clean about the referendum. 
Does the answer lie somewhere in between?  I doubt it ...

 

Music of the week


A new track from Leonard:

The euro-minuet



Frau Merkel has been a busy girl this week.  Sarko on Monday, Christine Lagarde yesterday and Mario Monti today.  Meanwhile Christine (who should perhaps lay off the fake tan for a bit) is today in Paris for a meeting with Sarko.

And where is Cameron in all these bi-laterals?  Should he not be keeping an eye on what they're up to?  But then if you burn your boats with a veto, you don't get invited to the party ...

OMG I'm becoming bourgeois*

On-line grocery shopping.  Yes, you get really exciting posts at this blog.

Anyway, I thought I should let you know that Waitrose are now doing deliveries of groceries in the Edinburgh area.  What’s more, if you spend £50 plus, the delivery is free.  Rather better than Sainsbury where you need to spend £100 to get free delivery (and only on Tuesdays to Thursdays).  On the other hand, Sainsbury has a one hour window for delivery, whereas the others occupy two hours.

So we now have a choice of four sources of on-line groceries: in addition to those mentioned above, there are Tesco and Asda.  It is of course a matter of personal choice which to choose.  I tend to play the field.  Asda is best for round sliced sausage, Tesco has a better selection of beers,  I strongly favour Waitrose’s tinned chopped tomatoes (and their gourmet pork sausages), while Sainsbury’s burgers are rather more than OK.

Up to you …


* Some of you may have already guessed 

Vires and all that

Just a thought.

If the Scottish Government lacks the legal authority "to legislate, and authorise spending arrangements, for" an independence referendum, as asserted by the Westminster government, then presumably the Scottish Government also lacks the legal authority to spend money on issuing a consultation paper on the matter, which it nevertheless did on 25 February 2010 (see here).

But I do not recall anyone in Westminster objecting on vires grounds to the Scottish Government's actions in relation to that consultation paper.

10 January 2012

Quote of the day

From the UK Government's consultation paper (here):
Following the Scottish Parliament elections in May last year, the Scottish Government has made clear its intention to hold a referendum on independence. To do so it is necessary for the Scottish Parliament to have the legal power to legislate, and authorise spending arrangements, for such a referendum. It is the view of the UK Government that the Scottish Parliament does not have that legal power.
Aye well, we'll see ...

Choo-choos are go

So HS2, the high speed railway between London and Birmingham, is to go ahead after all.  I'm not clear why it is regarded as high speed.   After all, it is not expected to come into service until 2026.  It is unlikely to reach Scotland within my lifetime.

By way of comparison, the French equivalent, the TGV, was authorised by the French Government in 1976 amd the first trains were running between Paris and Lyon in 1981.

09 January 2012

Blundering about

Does the Prime Minister know what he's doing?  The Independent reports:
David Cameron is to take the high-risk gamble of offering to hold a referendum on Scottish independence next year. He aims to call Alex Salmond's bluff by challenging him to stage a vote on Scotland's place in the UK within 18 months. 
...
The Prime Minister will publish legal advice that concludes the SNP administration in Edinburgh can hold a binding referendum only with the British Government's permission. He will say he is prepared to give his backing to a vote only as long as it is held by the summer of 2013.
...
Under Mr Cameron's move, the Government atWestminster would insert a "sunset clause" into the Scotland Bill, which is before the House of Lords, allowing the Scottish Government to hold the referendum in the next 18 months. But SNP sources said Mr Salmond was not prepared to enter in deals on a referendum and would veto Mr Cameron's "sunset clause" if Westminster tried to impose it on Scotland.
Even if (and it is a very big if, given the doldrums in which it currently finds itself) the Scotland Bill were to emerge from the legislative process in the form intended by Cameron, there is nothing to prevent Salmond ignoring it and proceeding with a so-called advisory referendum at a time of his own choosing.  Furthermore, by seeking to impose a London diktat on the Scottish political process, Cameron is more likely to hasten the outcome that he seeks to avoid.




 

08 January 2012

Internet football

There is something essentially ridiculous about watching the Man City/Man U football match on a Russian website.  But the English language feeds had broken down (much like Man C), so I opted for Russian commentators.  (At no great loss in comprehension, despite my extremely limited Russian.)

Am I doing something illegal?  Dunno.  But if you want to watch French rugby, English (or Scottish) football, tennis, American football or Australian cricket, a website combining the words "livetv" and "ru" seems fairly reliable.

Oh, Man U won 3-2.

07 January 2012

Quote of the day

By Lucy in The Guardian (here):
I have at last pinpointed why the sight of David Cameron is becoming more unsettling. (The hateful sound, of course, has always been easy to explain – there are the words, of course, and then the way they spill fruitily forth from his wet-lipped mouth like rotting, weeping plums.)
It's because he's getting fatter. Not massively, not obscenely so – just gently, calmly and inexorably. His lips say we're all in this together, but his face says, "I'm lying. Fatly." And by their BMIs shall ye truly know them. While Obama gets leaner and tauter by the day, suggesting a man stretched on the rack of his country's woes, Cameron inflates.
Childish, I know, but satisfyingly appropriate ...

06 January 2012

Fine art appreciation

It's a bum rap.  The Independent reports:

A 36-year-old woman was accused of causing $10,000 worth of damage to a painting valued at between $30m and $40m by punching it, scratching it, and sliding her bare buttocks against it while urinating.
The oil painting, Clyfford Still's 1957-J no 2, was on show at the recently opened museum dedicated to the artist in Denver, Colorado.


 

Losing it

Well there I go.  According to a study in the BMJ, my cognitive abilities may have begun their decline fifteen years earlier than anticipated.  It would be alarming if I still had the sense to understand it.  But then that's probably down to my ever-increasing stupidity.

John Crace in The Guardian has the right attitude:

Getting old is a scary enough business – every illness I get is more likely to be fatal – but what really keeps me awake, with both laughter and terror, is leaving the country in the hands of the young.
Cameron, Osborne, Clegg and Miliband: all are men who have done next to nothing, and appear to understand next to nothing. Their total experience outside Westminster is zero. These are the people we are trusting to get us out of the worst depression since the 1930s.
If they do, it will be down to luck and nothing else.
But if you think it's bad now, imagine how it's going to be in a year's time. Cameron was 45 last birthday so, according to the BMJ, his reasoning will be getting worse and worse. Think about it. While you still can.

05 January 2012

Music of the week

OK, so I'm an old romantic:


The rewards of failure

The fatcat bosses can't lose.  It's heads they win, tails they win.  The Independent reports on a blatant case:
The former chief executive of Thomas Cook received £1.17 million from the company after he resigned, despite the group's deteriorating performance under his watch.
The holiday giant's annual report revealed Manny Fontenla-Novoa received the payout on top of the £1.19 million earned in his last year of employment until he resigned in August following a string of profit warnings.
The £1.17 million payment consisted of salary, pension allowance and benefits, and was owed to Mr Fontenla-Novoa in accordance to his contract terms.
After Mr Fontenla-Novoa resigned, Thomas Cook fell on even harder times, culminating in a cry for help to its lenders and a decision to axe some 200 shops and cut hundreds of jobs as it moves to save the business.
I rather doubt if the poor sods working in the shops were remunerated as lavishly ... 

04 January 2012

The triumph of hope over common sense

Will the First Minister adopt the lycra?  The Scotsman reports:
Alex Salmond is being challenged to get on his bike to raise the profile of cycling.
Labour Central Scotland MSP Mark Griffin, has offered to join the First Minister on a bike ride around Edinburgh in the hope that it will encourage people to cycle to work.
Fat Eck on a bike?  Ridiculous ...

Could be worse?

Hey, the UK's financial position is not so bad.  The Independent looks at the state of play in a different way:

The world's sovereign bond markets face a monumental test in 2012 as the largest economies attempt to roll over a combined total of $7.6 trillion (£4.9 trillion) in debt.
Data compiled by Bloomberg show the full extent of the financing needs of the largest nations over the next 12 months. The largest borrower will be Japan, which needs to roll over $3 trillion. The United States must raise $2.8 trillion. Next in line is the troubled Italian government, which is looking to raise $428bn. The twin supporting pillars of the eurozone, France and Germany, must borrow $367bn and $285bn. The UK government needs to roll over $165bn in 2012. The emerging markets of China, Brazil and India have to raise $121bn, $169bn and $57bn.
Apparently, the UK's borrowings are over a longer term, meaning they do not have to be re-financed as quickly.  Not necessarily a cause for rejoicing but, as the pilot said when crossing the Himalayas, not every cloud has a solid lining ...

01 January 2012

Science or something?

Let us start the New Year as we mean to continue.  In ignorance.  The Independent explains the Higgs Boson Particle:

Professor Peter Higgs of Edinburgh University first postulated the subatomic particle that now bears his name in the 1960s. He theorised that all matter has a mass because it interacts with a force field that pervades the universe – an interaction mediated by the boson. The greater the interaction between an object and this field, the greater the mass of that object.
Nearly 20 years ago, then-science minister William Waldegrave offered a prize to anyone who could explain the boson in simple terms. The winner drew an analogy with a cocktail-room full of political-party workers who stand uniformly distributed, chatting to one another in a relaxed manner. Into the party walks a former prime minister who, as she moves from one side of the room to another, attracts a small knot of people. This is what the Higgs boson does to matter: the greater the mass of an object, the greater the knot of people and the slower it moves through the "cocktail drinkers" of the Higgs field.
Get it?  No, me neither ...