07 December 2005

Here we go, here we go, here we go

So Mr Cameron has finally won. He appears to be a pleasant fellow. But that hardly excuses the gadarene rush of the media to fall at his feet and declare him to be the best thing since sliced bread. Thankfully, Jonathan Freedland in The Guardian retains sufficient sanity to point to the cloven hooves beneath Mr Cameron's cycle anorak:
"In four years in the Commons he has voted against every extra investment in schools, hospitals and the police. He voted against the increase in national insurance that went on the NHS. He wants to abolish the New Deal and undo Britain's adherence to the European social chapter, the document that ensures a variety of rights and protections for British workers.
Again and again, Cameron may talk left, but he remains a man of the right. The work-life balance is a favoured theme, constantly advertising his own hands-on involvement in family duties, yet in 2002 he voted against a battery of measures that would have extended maternity leave to 26 weeks, raised maternity pay and introduced two weeks' paid leave for fathers as well as leave for adoptive parents. Most striking, given his own circumstances, he voted against giving parents of young or disabled children the right to request flexible working.
On schools, he has advocated a voucher system that would send resources to private schools at the expense of state comprehensives. On health, he has argued for a "patients' passport", which would enable individuals to jump the NHS queue, partly using public money to go private.
It is on the economy, though, that the gloss should wear off fastest. Cameron talks of "sharing" the fruits of growth between investment and tax cuts. Sounds reasonable, everyone likes sharing. Trouble is, that diversion of funds to tax cuts would bite deep into planned spending: losing £12bn this year and £17bn next, according to Gordon Brown. That will allow the chancellor to use the same tactic against Cameron that destroyed each of his predecessors. Which services will be cut? Which school playground won't be renovated, which hospital ward will be shut?"

My bet would also be on Mr Brown. He has been a professional politician for years, even decades. He'll take Mr Cameron apart.

Nor do the Tories have the collective discipline required. The first grumbles will start tomorrow when Mr Cameron names his shadow cabinet.

All in all, I suspect that within 12 months the Tories will be looking for yet another leader.

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