20 July 2008

Despair


Source: The Observer

There are still some of us who find it mildly shocking that the Prime Minister should choose to be photographed with a gun. What kind of message does he want to send here? Are we supposed to admire his bellicosity, virility, whatever?


18 July 2008

The story so far

The admirable Kezia wrote a post suggesting that Nicola had been thrown out of a shopping centre and that the BBC had filmed it and refused to broadcast it. So far, so who cares?

Then Nicola e-mailed Kezia (according to Kezia) demanding the removal of the post, a request which - naturally enough - was refused.

I have no idea who is in the right here. But I draw some lessons:

1. Bloggers are playing a part in this by-election. For the first time in Scotland?

2. Politicians engage with bloggers at their peril. What might have been a minor contretemps has been given weight and prominence by Nicola's reaction.

3. Bullying bloggers is not really a good idea.

4. The BBC has been awfully quiet about the incident.

More tomorrow, no doubt.

Spoiling a nice walk

There is yet a little hope for us oldies as Greg Norman heads the Open leaderboard.

I find it rather more intriguing that the BBC is webcasting its coverage here. Are all or most major sporting events to be available in future on the net? What does this mean for traditional tv? And if the BBC can do this for sport (and increasingly for political events such as PMQs), why not for other programmes?

Meanwhile, the i-player goes from strength to strength, even if it is not totally reliable in terms of which programmes can be re-played. But it is seriously altering my tv habits.

All of this is rather disruptive to someone who was brought up on a diet of binary choice (BBC or ITV) black and white telly. But I think I like it ...

17 July 2008

Foreign affairs

The New York Times has fallen in love with the President of France:
At home, where he’s unpopular in the polls but less so around the dinner table, Sarkozy has circumvented the 35-hour week by slashing taxes on overtime, freed up universities, downsized the state functionary community (and mentality), spurred small businesses, cut public spending and set in motion a radical reform aimed at creating a 21st-century army.
By comparison, Gordon Brown in Britain, he of Heathcliffian moodiness, and Angela Merkel in Germany, she of grand coalition paralysis, look second-tier.

If its correspondents look a little more carefully, the NYT may find that those 'achievements' are more aspirational than actually delivered.

Perhaps, they were over-excited by the hamburgers ...

16 July 2008

Thinking it through

Is this really a sensible idea? The Times reports:
David Cameron called for United States-style bankruptcy protection laws for businesses yesterday as part of a Conservative rescue plan for the economy. Speaking at the CBI, the Conservative leader said that thousands of jobs could be lost unless companies were given breathing space to try to raise new finance. The US bankruptcy rules, under the Chapter 11 system, give firms court protection as they try to agree a deal with their creditors.
...
A Chapter 11-style regime would give businesses in trouble the chance to raise new money by offering rescue financiers priority over other creditors. Rescue proposals would need only the backing of the court and a majority of shareholders - meaning that they could not be blocked by creditors.

Just who are those creditors? Well, some of them will be other businesses who supply the company concerned; other creditors will be banks and financial institutions who have lent money to the company. A Chapter 11 regime would inevitably mean that lenders and suppliers would become more careful about their relationships with companies - which in turn means that the cost of borrowing would increase and credit would be more difficult to secure. In the current dismal economic climate, is that really what Mr Cameron wants?

15 July 2008

Move over Darling

It irritates me that, whenever the rate of inflation increases, Chancellors of the Exchequer are quick to attach blame:
Rising food and fuel costs pushed UK inflation up to an 11-year high of 3.8% in June from 3.3% in May, figures show.
...
The RPI inflation measure - often used as a benchmark in pay negotiations - rose to 4.6% in June from 4.3% in May.
Commenting on the figures, Chancellor Alistair Darling called for wage restraint in order to help rein in price growth.
"We saw what happened in the past when inflation got out of control and people found that every penny they got in a wage increase was swallowed up by food and fuel prices going up," said Mr Darling.

Hey Darling, inflation measures the growth in prices. Why do you never call for price restraint?

14 July 2008

All's well that ends well, you think?

I have always veered towards the cock-up theory of history while leaving the conspiracists to their more sinister version of events. But this story is quite extraordinary. The Herald provides us with the details:
Scottish ministers have moved to head off accusations of political vindictiveness after an administrative blunder was blamed for the reneging on cash pledges to community organisations.
More than 20 groups across Scotland were told on Friday afternoon they had been successful in their applications for funding from the Scottish Government's equality unit only to be told hours later that a decision had "not actually been made" by the Communities Minister Stewart Maxwell and that "all the letters which were sent out were done so prematurely".
Civil servants claimed they had simply been preparing drafts so they could move quickly once a decision had been reached and that those who had been wrongly told could discuss the matter.
However, following allegations by one recipient, Mike Dailly, of the Govan Law Centre, that the U-turn was politically motivated and that he would pursue legal action if the promised £250,000 did not materialise the government pledged yesterday that all those who received the first letter would get the funding.

So the civil servants sent out grant award letters, then withdrew them, then confirmed that the original awards would be honoured. A simple mistake?

In the good old days of the civil service, draft letters would be distinguished from final version by being prepared in double spacing, with DRAFT written at the top of every page. But in these days of e-mail communication, perhaps that is no longer standard practice. Even so, it is still difficult to believe that grant awards could be issued before final Ministerial approval had been obtained.

I don't suppose that we will ever learn the whole story.

13 July 2008

Quote of the day

By a Mr Rentoul of The Independent (here):
The London consensus persistently overlooks the extent to which Scotland is a small, closed society, a bit like North Korea only less democratic. It has its own media and its own political culture.

I might say the same about the London consensus ...

11 July 2008

Music of the week

"The smell of hospitals in winter / The feeling that it's all a lot of oysters with no pearls"


In praise of Mrs Brown

1. She is nothing like Cathy, either the Cathy of Wuthering Heights or the Cathy of the Scottish Labour Party.

2. She is nothing like Carla - she has not made a musical album about her sex life with her husband. And who wants a dolly bird as the PM's wife?

3. She is nothing like Cherie - it is utterly impossible to imagine Sarah running round an Australian supermarket filling up a trolley with free produce.

Discreet, modest, free from any criticism, the secret weapon that might just win Gordon the general election.

10 July 2008

Neglecting nos moutons

I have been remiss. Mea culpa! I have hitherto failed to comment sufficiently on the Glasgow East by-election.

Curran or Curran? Or perhaps your fancy tends to Mason? Or has Rankin caught your eye? I try to follow the twists and turns of the candidates on Newsnicht (usually on the i-player the next morning), but I find it hard to maintain an engagement. A bit like most of the potential electors in the constituency, then.

Perhaps it is the absence of serious political issues. There has been a little desultory and inconclusive speculation about Ms Curran's (Margaret this time) attitude to an independence referendum but I have yet to see any serious interventions from any of the candidates on matters such as local income tax, the Calman Commission, the Scottish Futures Trust. All we have really had so far is whether Two Jobs Salmond is more reprehensible than a putative Two Jobs Curran (Margaret again). That and Ms Margaret's confusion over her address.

Predictably, Labour is indulging in the game of lowering expectations, so that a narrow win might be greeted as a stunning victory. Equally predictably, the SNP - rather unwisely, imho - is anticipating 'a political earthquake'.

Then there is the significance of the result. If Labour loses - whch it might - then Mr Brown's premiership may be at risk. But both Holyrood and Westminster will be in recess; Ministers, MPs, MSPs and the political commentators will all go off on holiday. Nothing will happen until September when everyone will have cooled down - maybe.

Meanwhile, the boys and girls of the Scottish blogosphere have come out to play. By clicking on any of the links to the right, you can follow the action.

Forgive the world-weary cynicism, but for now I really can't be bothered.

Quote of the day

Matthew Parris (here):
Snigger if you like. Tell me she's kitsch. Tell me those breasts, that wig, those rhinestones, that log-cabin stuff are irrelevant to musical quality. Tell me that no life could be the homespun fairytale she sells us. But what a voice! And still I believe that there's something real about Dolly Parton, something good at the centre of what she seems to represent.
Get real, Matthew! Gay icons are so last year.

I'm sniggering.

09 July 2008

Dummkopf

A man who could say this:
"German also somehow sounds appropriate for a bossy dominant character. It is a harsh-sounding - rather than a romantic - language."

has obviously never listened to Schubert's lieder.

Add it to his other sins.

The BBC - not so good at PR

Hey, the BBC has been having a hard time. There were those phone-in scandals; then there was upsetting Her Maj and misnaming the Blue Peter dog. There were the job cuts, up to 2500 in the pipeline. You might have thought that in these circumstances the high heid-yins at the BBC would keep their heads down. Not a bit of it. The Independent has the story:
The director general, Mark Thompson, and nine other corporation bosses earned £4.96m in 2007-08, a rise of 17 per cent on the previous year. Most BBC employees received pay increases of 4 per cent over the same period, broadly in line with inflation. Mr Thompson's salary rose from £788,000 last year to £816,000, while that of Mark Byford, his deputy, rose from £437,000 to £513,000.
...
Jana Bennett, the director of BBC Vision, saw her salary rise by £103,000, to £536,000. She was criticised for her role in the "Crowngate" affair, after a trailer for a documentary wrongly suggested that the Queen had stormed out of a photoshoot at Buckingham Palace. An independent report into "Crowngate" criticised Ms Bennett for "showing a lack of curiosity" after being told of the blunder. Her bonus was reduced by several thousand pounds to reflect the damage caused by the phone-in scandals involving Comic Relief, Children In Need and Saturday Kitchen. Mr Thompson said that Ms Bennett's bonus, which was reduced to £23,000, represented "a significant discount to reflect what had happened".
Jenny Abramsky, the outgoing director of audio and radio, who is leaving the BBC with a pension of £4m – thought to be a record for the British public sector – was paid £419,000, a 27 per cent increase from £329,000. Her bonus was £19,000.
Ashley Highfield, who has since left his post as future media executive director, saw his overall pay rise by £107,000 to £466,000. This came after the corporation went £36m over budget on its website.
... In October, Mr Thompson announced that the BBC would lose up to 1,800 jobs, after receiving a smaller than expected licence fee settlement from the Government.
That figure has since risen to 2,500.

I am sure that the lowlier BBC staff will be sympathetic to the financial needs of the boss class. Or perhaps not. As a licence-payer, I'm definitely not sympathetic.

Invading our space?

It has become something of a fashion for dead tree political journalists to publish so-called blogs on newspaper websites. Among the best of them are Ben Brogan of The Daily Mail and Brian Taylor of the BBC.

But they are not always so successful. In the case of The Herald's blogs, it is rather obvious that some editorial bigwig has decreed that its political commentators should have blogs. Douglas Fraser does reasonably well in terms of content, but having a once a week splurge is not really the way to attract a consistent readership. Robbie Dinwoodie appears to have lost interest, not having posted since mid-June. And what can one say about Michael Settle? Only three posts in total and nothing since 3 June.

I say, chaps, if you're going to do this blogging thing, perhaps you might want to take it a little more seriously ...

07 July 2008

Guilty as charged

Sometimes, I have to throw out food that has passed its sell-by date. As a single person household, it is invariably the case that I cannot consume a whole loaf of bread before it develops green spots. And if I buy a cabbage, why should I have to eat it for four meals in a row?

But now Gordon is on my case. The BBC reports:
Britons must stop wasting food in an effort to help combat rising living costs, Gordon Brown has said as he travelled to the G8 summit in Japan.
The PM said "unnecessary" purchases were contributing to price rises, and urged people to plan meals in advance and store food properly.
A government study found the UK wastes 4m tonnes of food every year, adding £420 to a family's shopping bills.

I am tempted to ask what's it got to do with him? But I suppose that I should just slink away, trying to put more effort into emptying the fridge before filling it up again. That damn avocado (half price at Tesco's on Saturday) has been sitting on the larder shelf for too long.

05 July 2008

Passing strange

A Glasgow Labour MP resigns his seat on Monday 30 June. He is apparently so ill that he cannot hold on for three weeks until the summer parliamentary recess. But we are not told about his illness. But presumably the whips could have sent him home early, thus avoiding the need for a by-election until parliament resumes in October. But, no, he resigns with immediate effect.

The writ for the by-election is moved immediately, setting the date for 24 July, as early as possible, even although this is in the middle of the Glasgow Fair holiday. This is presumably to avoid allowing the SNP to build up their bandwagon. But it means that postal votes have to be applied for by next Wednesday (9 July).

The expected Labour candidate fails to turn up to the selection meeting which is then postponed until Monday 7 July. It remains (at the time of writing) unknown if he will attend the meeting on Monday.

What is going on?

04 July 2008

Unbelievable

Are we expected to take this seriously? The Guardian reports:
Gordon Brown was "disappointed" by the decision of MPs – including his two parliamentary aides and 33 of his ministers - to throw out a series of proposed reforms to their expenses, the prime minister's spokesman said today.

Yet, in the same article:
Although Brown was said to support the proposed changes, he did not attend the Commons to vote and his two parliamentary private secretaries, Austin and Basildon MP Angela Smith, both voted against the reforms.
...
Government whips were then seen nodding Labour MPs through the aye lobby when they voted on a backbench amendment, tabled by former minister Don Touhig, to preserve their expenses.
Mr Brown obviously thinks that we are idiots.

03 July 2008

Tuppence for your thoughts

As if 2p on a litre of petrol would make much difference. The BBC reports:
Gordon Brown has said the delayed 2p rise in fuel duty is something that will be looked at "very, very carefully" over the next few weeks.
Well, big deal! As oil has risen to $146 a barrel, the increases in the price of petrol already in the pipeline [sorry about that] will dwarf 2p per litre.

Look, I know it's hard but we have to face the fact that the cost of fuel has undergone a step increase. Economic and social life will change in ways which are uncharted. This kind of thing is only the beginning.

Whatever floats your boat


Why do I get the feeling that this is more about jobs than about naval strategy? The BBC reports:

The Ministry of Defence has signed contracts worth £3.2bn to build the UK's biggest ever aircraft carriers.
The 280-metre-long HMS Queen Elizabeth and HMS Prince of Wales will be capable of carrying up to 40 aircraft.
The contracts will create or secure 3,000 jobs at Govan, in Glasgow, 1,600 at Rosyth, in Fife, 1,200 in Portsmouth and 400 in Barrow in Furness.

It's not just the fact that the Navy won't have enough surface ships to protect the carriers or that traditional military aeroplanes will have been rendered redundant by pilotless drones, or even that the extremely expensive new strike fighters will not be available on time so that Harriers (yes, the vertical take-off aircraft that don't need massive new carriers) will be used instead.

Meanwhile, ageing and dangerous Nimrods will be kept in the air, while troops are shuttled out in ancient RAF Tristars to Afghanistan where there is a desperate shortage of helicopters needed to avoid the troops having to rely on lightly-armoured landrovers for transport. (See here.)

But, hey, as long as spending money on carriers keeps the shipyards going and Labour MPs in a job , then it must be for the best in this best of all possible worlds.

02 July 2008

Daft as a brush

What to do at Wimbledon when it rains? The Telegraph has the answer:
Jonas Björkman, of Sweden, a Wimbledon veteran, even began collecting the rain.
"I just got to thinking that the rain is so much a part of the fabric and romance of the place, why not start collecting it?" he said.
"I go out and scoop off what I want with a polystyrene cup and decant it into an ice-cream tub to take back to the locker-room. I've got an entire puddle taken from near the Fred Perry statue after an unforecast downpour on the second Tuesday of the 1996 championships that I'm particularly proud of.
"I've got some drain-overflow that Goran Ivanisevic walked through on his way off court during his famous 2001 semi-final against Tim Henman, which is obviously a bit of a collector's item. And I've also got nearly two gallons of water which pooled in the covers during the violent electrical storm which interrupted my first-round match against Mark Petchey in 1994 – which is obviously very personal to me. At the moment, the collection is carefully labelled in plastic vats in my garage in Monaco, but eventually I'm hoping to be able to display it all properly in a cabinet in the sitting-room. It'll be something to show the grandchildren."

There are some strange people in this world.

01 July 2008

OK, I'm an anorak

I have already commented upon the Tories' plan to resolve the West Lothian Question. I took the view that confining membership of the committees considering English bills to non-Scottish MPs was unlikely to make much difference in practice.

In order to ensure that I was not talking rubbish, I have checked the committee membership of those 'English' bills going through the Commons during the current parliamentary session, although the exclusively English nature of some of these might be questioned. Anyway, the committees considering the following bills had no Scottish MPs as members:
Children and Young Persons Bill
Education and Skills Bill
Health and Social Care Bill
Housing and Regeneration Bill
Local Transport Bill
Special Educational Needs Bill

The Crossrail Bill had two Scottish MPs - Tom Harris (as Minister) and Gordon Banks. The Planning Bill had on Scottish MP - Jim Sheridan. And the committee on the Sale of Student Loans Bill was chaired by Ann Begg ( which means that she is not usually allowed to vote).

In the circumstances, it would seem difficult to argue that Scottish MPs have a significant influence on the committee stage of English bills. Their formal exclusion, as proposed by the Tories, would be unlikely to have a significant effect.

30 June 2008

Jamie Murray - gentleman?

Jamie Murray writes in The Guardian about strategy in mixed doubles:
That's really important in mixed doubles because it's part of the guy's job to target the girl, hit the ball hard to her side of the court and try to frighten her a bit. The idea is to stop the woman going for her shots because, if you can take her out of the game, then the court suddenly becomes a lot bigger.

I suppose that winning is everything, even in mixed doubles ...

A reminder

Now that there is to be an election (or even just a coronation) for the Labour leadership at Holyrood, and as the heat of battle apparently makes it easy to forget, I suggest that it would be really helpful if all the candidates were to obey the rules (all the rules) about donations to their campaigns. No contributions from foreign residents; and I would suggest over-compliance on the declarations - declare everything to everyone as soon as possible!

Quote of the day

The view from the London commentariat, in this case Bruce Anderson in The Independent (here):
"Most Holyrood Labour ministers were surly, glottal-stopped, class-hating mediocrities."

which probably says more about Mr Anderson than about Holyrood labour ministers.

28 June 2008

Quote of the day

From Wendy:
"It is clear that vexatious complaints will continue to dominate the headlines as long as I remain Labour's Scottish Parliamentary Leader. I cannot ask Labour supporters in Scotland for further forbearance."

And so it ends: not with a roar, nor with a determination to rage against the dieing of the light. If her statement is perhaps shaded with a modicum of self-pity, who would blame her? She has made mistakes, sure, but she has paid for them dearly.

The modern day saint

Hugo Rifkind in The Times has obviously failed to grasp that it is not acceptable to mock the great man. Here is the opening to his version of Mr Mandela's diary:
For 27 years I was prisoner 46664 of the apartheid regime in South Africa. For 18 of these years I lived in a small cell in Robben Island. My nights were spent sweating against rough woollen sheets. My days were spent working in the lime quarry. I received one letter every six months. This was a hard time. And yet, there was an upside. For I had no telephone. Bono never called.

Read the rest. If it were not funny, it would be sad.

Hallelujah indeed

Simon Schama in The Guardian analyses Leonard Cohen as a lyricist. Not sure it works - sometimes you just have to take the old maestro as you find him.

27 June 2008

The Scottish navy


In the 1970s, I had the doubtful pleasure of spending several days on a fisheries protection vessel, including a passage through the Pentland Firth when I was sick as a dog. I see that the Scottish Executive's latest fisheries protection vessel, Hirta, has been commissioned. Press release here.

Good that a long-established tradition in the fisheries protection of naming vessels after Scottish islands (Jura, Westra, Switha, Sulisker) has been maintained. Hirta is part of the St Kilda group.

It is decades since I had any involvement with fish protection and I have been unable to track down the alternative boat-naming traditon that led to Freya, Minna and Norna. I know that the last two featured in Sir Walter Scott's The Pirate. But there is also a link to Scandinavian mythology.

Perhaps someone out there knows the answer?

Sad that the new vessel was built in Poland.

26 June 2008

FMQs

Nice to see Ms Jamieson back in the front line, Ms Alexander having lost her voice. At least, the admirable Cathy knows how to avoid the second person in asking her questions, a skill that Wendy has consistently failed to master. And Cathy didn't do so badly, either. Mr Salmond treated her respectfully, even although he utterly failed to answer her questions.

Still, I suppose Ms Alexander has other things to worry about.

25 June 2008

The gravy train continues ...

It's not that hard to understand, is it? But MPs do not seem to have got the message. The Guardian reports:
An expenses overhaul aimed at restoring public confidence recommended that MPs be banned from claiming for furniture, televisions and other household items on the co-called John Lewis list. Claims for new kitchens, bathrooms and other renovations would also be banned.
But a report from the House of Commons members estimates committee (MEC) suggests that MPs should be allowed to claim up to £19,600 a year for the cost of living away from home. This tax-free allowance would cover items such as rent, mortgage interest payments, hotel bills and running costs such as utility bills, council tax and repairs. Receipts would be needed for all claims "however small" from 2009-10.
It would replace the existing system where MPs can claim a second homes allowance of up to £23,000 a year, with receipts needed for claims over £25.
In addition, MPs would be able to claim a flat-rate of £30 a day without receipts, up to a maximum of £4,200 a year, for food, taxis and incidental expenses.

So the existing allowance of up to £23,000 will be replaced by a cost of living allowance of up to £19,600 plus a subsistence allowance of up to £4,200, which totals up to £23,800. And this is supposed to restore public confidence?

Probably safe for work, I think

You know that deli mayo ad that homophobic complaints have caused Heinz to pull because it features a homosexual kiss? Well, here is a better one:


Cr*p

Who says Americans don't do irony? The New York Times reports:
SAN FRANCISCO — Reagan has his highways. Lincoln has his memorial. Washington has the capital (and a state, too). But President Bush may soon be the sole president to have a memorial named after him that you can contribute to from the bathroom.
From the Department of Damned-With-Faint-Praise, a group going by the regal-sounding name of the Presidential Memorial Commission of San Francisco is planning to ask voters here to change the name of a prize-winning water treatment plant on the shoreline to the George W. Bush Sewage Plant.

Somehow, rather appropriate.

Enter your own off-colour joke below.

Quote of the day

Marina Hyde on Wimbledon (here in The Guardian):
... the championships are attended by people who regard house prices as acceptable - if not sparkling - dinner party conversation, and whose worldview tends toward the sheltered. If Tim Henman was the boy they'd like their daughter to bring home, Andy Murray is kind of how they imagine crack addicts to be.

Really?

24 June 2008

The wicked witch

Here.

It's the fashion

Well, yes, I have been known to wear one. And, yes, I was the subject of a certain amount of mockery. The Times reports:
Federer did indeed step out in a cardigan yesterday and even though the day was — remarkably, perhaps uniquely for a first day of Wimbledon — coming up to the boil, he kept it on for at least half the warm-up. Is that cool, or not?
It looked a very nice cardy, if you happen to be a cardy sort of man, a cardy you could easily stroll to the fridge in, relax in front of the television in; even, God help you, play a round of golf in. Federer pushed the sleeves back to the elbows for the dashing, “just about to do the washing-up” look.
And now for the amazing bit. He took it off without undoing the buttons. Imagine that. He pulled it over his head as if it were a pullover. Dreadful thought — perhaps the buttons don’t undo.

In fashion, what goes around comes around. So there.

21 June 2008

£50 a month to give up the fags?

No, not really interested in that either. Though why its advocates think that it represents value for money escapes me. The tax I pay on fags more than covers any additional health costs. Besides, if I were to live an extra ten years, the public purse would have to bear the extra cost of my pension, my bus-pass, my winter fuel allowance, etc. And, while I might avoid lung cancer, I would no doubt find some other disease to die of, one which was equally injurious to the pocket of my local health board.

My public duty is to keep on puffing, ensuring my early death. You'll miss me when I'm gone.

GERS

What? No, I'm not really interested. The GERS conclusions depend upon the difference between two very large estimates (income and expenditure) which, as any statistician will tell you, is always a bit iffy. And then there are the (always heroic) assumptions which underlie the calculations.

To take a simple example on the income side of the equation. Scotland has two of the largest banks in Europe (although they are not now as big as they were last year). Each pays vast quantities of tax to the UK exchequer. It would be 'unfair' to attribute all that tax as exchequer income from Scotland, as a much greater proportion of bank profits is earned in England. (Leave aside the profits earned abroad.) So how does the GERS exercise allocate that Exchequer income from banks' tax between Scotland and England? There are no absolute means of producing a correct answer - even the banks themselves do not know how much of their profits are earned in different parts of the UK. So GERS has to make assumptions. Are they reasonable assumptions? Probably. But alternative - and equally reasonable - assumptions could come up with an entirely different answer, which in turn might affect the overall outcome.

So, is GERS worthless? Certainly not. But let us not pretend that it is anything more than a rough corrective to long-held political prejudices.

20 June 2008

Just a thought

I see that the FBI is taking action. The Independent reports:
Two former Bear Stearns hedge fund managers took the first "perp walk" of the credit crisis, as the FBI paraded them in front of the world's media to face charges of misleading investors and insider dealing.
Ralph Cioffi and Matthew Tannin were marched yesterday from the FBI's New York headquarters to appear before a judge in Brooklyn.
And prosecutors promised that these are just the most high profile arrests in their ongoing investigation of wrong-doing following the collapse of the mortgage markets. More than 400 people, mainly local brokers accused of foisting unsuitable mortgages on unsophisticated borrowers, have now been indicted, including 60 people on Wednesday alone.

Good for the FBI. I wonder why the financial wideboys in the UK never seem to be pursued by the authorities?

FMQs ...

... or how to avoid answering questions. Ian Bell in The Herald - rather neatly, IMHO - sums up yesterday's interchange between Ms Alexander and Mr Salmond:
Is means-testing to be applied to the central heating scheme? Answer: installations have been taking place in record numbers.
Are restrictions to be applied to the availability of free bus travel? Answer: the eligibility criteria will not change.
Would 400,000 pensioners be liable to local income tax? Answer: a "majority" of pensioners - says another handy poll - support a local tax.

In fairness, I should point out that Mr McConnell (remember him?) used to do much the same thing, although perhaps a little less blatantly.

17 June 2008

The demon drink

I should probably get myself worked up about the Scottish Government's latest proposals but I suppose that we shall have to accept them, if only for the sake of the greater good.

It does seem sad, however, that perfectly responsible 18 to 20 year-olds will be denied the delights of getting a carry-out to take home to watch the football on the telly. And what will happen to student parties? And the notion that, somehow, 18 to 20 year-olds will drink responsibly in pubs but cannot be trusted to buy alcohol in an off-licence seems daft.

Meanwhile, government will extend its grubby and interfering fingers into commerce by setting a minimum price per unit of alcohol (which, by the way, may be open to challenge under competition law) and by requiring supermarkets to establish separate alcohol tills (presumably on the basis that customers can be shamed into forgoing the purchase of the odd bottle of wine with their usual groceries).

It all smacks of Sunday Post authoritarianism - and we all know that Scotland will never be free until the last minister of the kirk is strangled with the last Sunday Post.

16 June 2008

Music of the week

The incomparable Grace at Woodstock:




Needless to say, this blog does not condone drug-taking ... unless it produces music like this.

Maybe they just like line-dancing?

The old municipal traditions are being maintained. The Evening News reveals that the age of junkets has not yet disappeared:
A COUNCIL meeting in West Lothian is to be postponed because too many members will be away on an official visit to Texas.
The full council was due to meet on September 16, but since that date was drawn up plans have been put in place for several elected members and council officials to visit Grapevine, Texas, as part of a recently established twinning agreement.

For the record, West Lothian Council has 32 councillors whose political make up is 14 Labour, 13 Scottish National Party, one Conservative, one Independent and three Action to Save St John's Hospital.

14 June 2008

The bizarre world of football

I regret to say that I am failing to keep up. The Independent reports:
Luiz Felipe Scolari wants to make Deco, the Portuguese international, his first signing at Chelsea. Talks have taken place with agent, Jorge Mendes, who represents both manager and player. The Barcelona midfielder will cost £10m. The 30-year-old has other options, not least Internazionale, who are now coached by another of Mendes's clients, Jose Mourinho, but he is understood to favour a move to the Premier League.

Who is this guy Mendes? And does he not have some serious conflicts of interest?

Flogging a dead horse

They're in denial - or maybe they simply don't know what else to say. The Independent reports:
The European Commission president, José Manuel Barroso, called on the Irish government to suggest possible "solutions" at an EU summit in Brussels next week. He said: "I believe the treaty is alive. Eighteen member states have already approved the treaty and the European Commission believes that the remaining ratifications should continue."
...
A group of countries, led by France, which assumes the EU presidency next month, is expected to try to minimise the importance of the Irish "no" vote. If other countries ratify the treaty, they argue privately, Ireland will be obliged to have a second vote.
Pissing against the wind. But not everyone:
However, another senior European commissioner, speaking off the record, said: "There will be no repeat vote in Ireland. That means the treaty is dead. It's part of a general disenchantment with the EU. We would have had similar results if there had been referendums in other European Union states."

13 June 2008

The Lisbon Treaty is dead - probably

We are still awaiting formal confirmation but the Irish appear to have said no. On the basis that the treaty depends upon ratification by all the Member States, this would appear to deliver a death-blow to the constitutional changes which it proposes. So no reduction in the number of Commissioners, no beefed-up foreign affairs representative, no semi-permanent president of the Council and no extension of qualified majority voting.

In theory, the EU Council could offer some treaty concessions to the Irish which might conceivably persuade them to hold another referendum - after all, it worked last time. But it would be an awfully long shot. And any substantive change to the proposed treaty might require a re-ratification process throughout the EU. But, unless there are substantive changes, the Irish are just as likely to vote no once again.

So what happens now? Well, the EU will no doubt continue to function on the basis of the Nice Treaty, as it has done - not unsatisfactorily - for the past few years. It would be far from ideal: Lisbon would have introduced some welcome constitutional changes. But it would not be the end of the world.

Meanwhile, constitutional change would be kicked into the long grass. I doubt if there is any appetite for continued constitutional debate, and some minor changes could be made on an ad hoc basis without the need for a new treaty.

Meanwhile, back at the Westminster ranch, there seems little point in continuing to process the bill ratifying Lisbon, even if it has just about completed parliamentary procedure. It really doesn't matter whether the UK ratifies the treaty - the Irish no has scuppered it. For the same reason, there is no point in continuing to argue for a UK referendum on Lisbon.

It is on days like this that I wish I were back in Brussels - Friday afternoon, Rudi would have produced a couple of bottles of wine, Gabrielle would have bought a gateau and some pastries, and my unit would have shot the breeze on what all this really meant. Those were indeed the days ...

12 June 2008

A noble endeavour?

No, I don't know what Mr Davis thinks he is up to.

But the LibDems have announced that they do not propose to oppose him. Labour has little hope in the constituency and might well take the same line.

In which case, Mr Davis may look slightly foolish.

A pyrrhic victory

To save you looking it up, here is the Wikipedia reference:
A Pyrrhic victory (IPA: /ˈpɪrɪk/) is a victory with devastating cost to the victor. The phrase is an allusion to King Pyrrhus of Epirus, whose army suffered irreplaceable casualties in defeating the Romans at Heraclea in 280 BC and Asculum in 279 BC during the Pyrrhic War.

Is it worth having a victory that relies on the support of the progressive forces of Anne Widdecombe, the nine MPs of the Democratic Unionist Party and UKIP's Bob Spink?

10 June 2008

09 June 2008

Here we go again

Ah yes, the English Question. The Telegraph reports:
Scottish MPs would be banned from voting on new laws for England under Conservative plans to rebalance the British constitution.
(Well not quite, actually - see below.)
The Daily Telegraph understands that David Cameron is preparing to throw his weight behind a plan to give English interests more explicit recognition at Westminster.
The Tories will next month publish the report of a review led by Ken Clarke, the former Chancellor, which has drawn up new proposals in the wake of the creation of the Scottish Parliament.
Mr Clarke:
... is said to have advised allowing all MPs to vote on English legislation at the initial second reading stage of parliamentary scrutiny. But only English MPs would get to vote during the detailed committee stage of the legislative process, where real changes can be effected.
At the third and final reading, all MPs could once again vote, but a new parliamentary undertaking would prevent any party using Scottish votes to block amendments made by English MPs.
Well so what, I hear you say. Scottish MPs are not usually appointed to the committees looking at English bills (although in the good old days English MPs sometimes had to be dragooned onto committees looking at Scottish bills in order to ensure that the membership adequately represented the party distribution in the Commons as a whole). And, anyway, this arrangement is only likely to be adopted if the Tories gain power - in which case the scope for using Scottish votes to block amendments at report stage would be severely limited.

I don't suppose that this will prevent Labour and SNP from seeking to argue that Scots MPs are being discriminated against and that they will become second class Members (or at least that they will become more second class than they are at present).

In practice, the proposals seem fairly innocuous, but perhaps I'm missing something ...

07 June 2008

Sometimes I think I'm becoming a dirty old man ...

I am not an aficionado of ladies' tennis but I watched the final at Roland Garros this afternoon.

How pleasant to watch a tennis match without (i) any grunting, (ii) any nonsense with towels, and (iii) this awful business whereby three balls are inspected before each serve before one is discarded.

But they do hit the ball awfully hard. And, at the risk of being thought sexist, I admit that Ms Ivanovic is fairly pleasant on the eye.

Who won? Ivanovic - who terrorised the Safina second serve.

Nostalgie de la boue

I see that the Tories are in trouble again over sleaze. I did admire this quote from Mr Osborne (cited in The Telegraph):
Shadow Chancellor George Osborne today found himself having to defend Mrs Spelman during a trip to Washington.
He told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: "Caroline Spelman is someone of enormous integrity and honesty, so I think her statement speaks for itself and her character speaks for itself.

Such enormous integrity and honesty that she thought it was OK to pay her nanny from her parliamentary allowances.

06 June 2008

Brussels will not be happy

It may make a right mess of the European project; it may drive the European Commission to despair; it may seriously upset the bigwigs of the European Council; it may even be nullified by forcing the Irish to repeat the process until they come up with the right answer. While I am generally in favour of the Treaty of Lisbon, I cannot help feeling a warm glow of satisfaction at this report in The Times:
The Republic of Ireland is set to reject the Lisbon Treaty, destroying ambitions to salvage a draft European constitution.
Rejection by only one of the European Union’s 27 member states would mean that the treaty — ratified by five parliaments so far — would fall.
Ireland has been the only country to put the treaty to a referendum. According to an opinion poll published today in The Irish Times, 35 per cent of people surveyed intend to vote “No” in next Thursday’s ballot, more than double the 17 per cent figure in the newspaper’s last survey three weeks ago. Support for the treaty has fallen from 35 per cent to 30 per cent, with 28 per cent undecided and 7 per cent intending to abstain.

Well done to the Irish.

05 June 2008

Spot the difference

Hair today:



Very public schoolboy.

As it used to be:

Most peculiar. Why do grown men change their hairstyles, especially for the worse? Answer (from a sad voice of experience) - Because they're going bald.

03 June 2008

If ...

Worth a look:

Quote of the day


This blog likes to consider the important political questions of the era. The Guardian speculates about the Foreign Secretary's hair:
Extraordinary, isn't it? Immobile, fixed, solid - it is, as my English teacher would put it, an immutable constant, an unchanging point around which the impressionable wax and wane.
OK, that may be a more apt description of Iago than the foreign secretary's hair, but the central tenet remains: David's hair is, if you look at it carefully, ... a truly astonishing work of physics. In its unmoving tidiness and solidity it is like a plastic black cap, of the sort placed on an Action Man's head. Truly, I have stood behind this man in a rainy Welsh field (in a non-stalking way, honest) and even then, when one's own blow dry was shot to hell and back, Miliband's hair remained as unyielding as a stubborn PM maintaining a tenuous grip on the No 10 doorframe. Even his brother Ed's hair has looked a little ruffled in its time, so clearly this is not a genetic trait, but a unique gift.

Doing sums

If it is worse now than it was then, then it must be appalling. The Guardian reports:
Maths exam standards have declined significantly over the past 50 years, with generations of teenagers facing undemanding questions that do not test their independent reasoning abilities, a report said yesterday.
Maths also suffers from an image problem, with pupils avoiding it because it is considered "geeky", according to the report published by the centre-right thinktank Reform.
Elizabeth Truss, deputy director of Reform and one of the authors, said: "In today's Britain it is acceptable to say that you can't do maths, whereas people would be ashamed to admit they couldn't read.
"We need a cultural revolution to transform maths from geek to chic."

Good luck with the cultural revolution - you'll need it.

Somewhat miraculously, I managed to secure a maths higher in the 1960s. In all the years since, a little algebra and the rudiments of geometry have occasionally come in useful. But trigonometry? Quadratic equations? Calculus?

(What was calculus all about, anyway?)

The squalid world of professional management

Ungrateful wretches - the media have shown little interest in the Scottish Government's fabby new wheeze. As the press release puts it:
A new website that will enable the people of Scotland to see - at-a-glance - how Scotland is performing was launched today.
The Scotland Performs website will allow people to find out whether the Scottish nation is becoming wealthier, safer, healthier, greener and smarter.
Visitors to the Scotland Performs website will be presented with highly visual and easy to understand pages. They will have quick access to information about the quality of life in Scotland, and where thing are getting better and where things are getting worse.

Admittedly, Scotland Performs fails to mention local income tax, the Scottish Futures Trust, police numbers and class sizes in schools - those things which we understood to be the Government's flagships (if it is possible to sail with four flagships). But, hey, you can't have everything.

And - perhaps - the Scotland Performs approach is a little old-fashioned. After all, performance indicators are so 1990s.

See here for a more generalised attack on the culture of targets and performance indicators.

02 June 2008

Stirring it

Be careful what you ask for. The Scotsman reports:
ALEX Salmond has taken the first formal move to try to wrest control of at least some of the UK's oil revenues from the UK Treasury.
The First Minister has written to Gordon Brown, the Prime Minister, asking for a share of the estimated £4 billion to £5 billion in extra income which the UK government is due to make in tax from the rapidly escalating price of oil.
Mr Salmond has also called for the creation of a Scottish oil fund, putting money aside for the time when the oil runs out.
But Alistair Darling, the Chancellor, made it clear yesterday he has no intention of dividing the extra oil tax revenue from the rest of government income, stating that some tax increases were going up while others were going down and the whole lot had to be seen as one package.

If I were a Labour (or a Tory) PM, I might have been tempted to suggest that the allocation of a proportion of oil taxation was worth considering. Of course, if the Scottish Government were to be given such a prize, there would have to be compensating savings in terms of the block grant provided by Treasury. The UK Government is not so well off economically or politically that it could afford to send additional resources north of the border.

It seems to me that the ensuing row would inevitably result in a full-scale review of the relative funding of the constituent parts of the UK. Is this what the First Minister wants? Even although Scotland comes out relatively well from the current arrangements? Or does Mr Salmond just want a row?

Incidentally, if this is an official approach from the First Minister, why is there no mention of it on the Scottish Government website?

31 May 2008

Quote of the day

From The Times (here):
A pint of beer at Harare's cricket ground is Z$800 million. A 13-amp plug on Tuesday cost me Z$1.3 billion. Photocopying a two-page document came to Z$269 million. The Z$10 million note, introduced at the beginning of the year to reduce the snaking queues outside the banks, will not buy so much as a banana.
If you read the article, please do not expect me to explain how much is a quadrillion ...

30 May 2008

Quote of the day

From The Guardian, here:
The world's most populous nation is becoming more carnivorous. In 1980, when the population was still under one billion, the average Chinese person ate 20kg (44lbs) of meat; last year, with an extra 300 million people, it was 54kg. The country as a whole now chomps through more than 60m tonnes of meat a year, roughly equivalent to 240 million cows, or 600 million pigs, or 24 billion chickens. It is a worldwide trend that is taking grain away from the world's poor. The consumption of meat in developing countries is rising by more than 5% a year.

29 May 2008

Questions, questions

I hesitate to criticise the new national drugs strategy, particularly as I think that the government is moving in the right direction.

But the ministerial statement is remarkably unspecific. If they are serious about putting the emphasis on promoting recovery from drug problems rather than simply managing the problems, then it is going to cost a lot. "Person-centred care" is much more expensive than handing out methadone. But the only reference to resources is the following:
The programme of action will be supported by a package of £94 million over the next three years. Health Boards will receive a 3.8 per cent increase in funding for drug treatment services. Funds are also spent on tackling drug use from other general budgets allocated by Government to local authorities.

A 3.8 per cent increase in funding drug treatment services is not going to go very far. Has any attempt been made to assess what is needed? Is this 3.8% increase based on need or on what was left in the kitty after other commitments? And is it included in the £94 million or is it additional? And how much is spent on drug treatment services at present?

In any case, surely a national strategy should start by setting out the scale of the problem. It is all very well to suggest (as the statement does) that the total cost to society of problem drug use amounts to £2.6 billion, but where is there any estimate of the number of problem drug users, the types of drugs abused and their geographical distribution? Because any action programme must start from such an analysis.

Nor is there any indication of what new facilities will be required to provide "person-centred care" nor how many extra staff will be needed. Unless this information is available, then it is impossible to cost the strategy.

Perhaps all this will become clearer in the weeks to come, but until then it seems less of a strategy and more of an aspiration.

28 May 2008

Crisis time

Sure, I feel their pain. I honestly do. The hauliers, the fishermen, the rural lobby. And they are only the first to be affected. Gradually, the hurt will extend to other sectors of the population, especially to those who rely on the combustion engine.

But bear in mind that the full implications of the hike in oil prices to $135 a barrel have yet to work their way through to petrol prices or gas prices or electricity prices. It will get worse before it gets better.

And, yes, the oil price will probably fall back during the summer, affording some relief to hard-pressed consumers. But it will only be temporary relief. As sure as eggs is eggs and demand exceeds supply, the oil price will resume its upward course.

And, if $135 a barrel causes such pain, what will happen when the price goes beyond $200? Sooner or later, it will.

26 May 2008

For those who might be interested.

Tonight, radio 4 FM at 7.15pm:
Leonard Cohen Special
Next week, one of the most influential singer-songwriters in musical history performs live for the first time in fifteen years, at the start of a world tour that will bring him to Britain. In his decade and a half away from the stage, Leonard Cohen has endured psychological crisis, spiritual transformation and the loss of much of his money in a financial fraud. But his songs - including Suzanne and Hallelujah - have remained indelible in his recordings and numerous cover versions. In a Front Row Special, Leonard Cohen talks to Mark Lawson about song-writing, God, money, and stage-fright.

There ain't no cure for love.

In praise of Will

I can only admire J Arthur's extensive analysis of Scottish football's prospects in next year's European competitions. This is way beyond the capacity of any dead tree sports journalist, certainly those in Scotland.

I hope he will not take it amiss if I suggest he might get out a little more ...

A moral conundrum

So the Royal Bank is buying a fancy new £4 million scanner which it will give to the Lothian Health Board. In return, RBS employees get privileged access to the scanner for 25% of the time. The BBC spells it out.

Is this a Good Thing? Is it better to have three-quarters of a loaf rather than no loaf at all?

Would it have been a Better Thing if the Bank had only asked for 10% of the scanner's time? And, if you think that the 25% deal is acceptable, at what percentage of exclusive access - 40, 50, 75, 80 - does the deal become unacceptable?

Difficult one ...

25 May 2008

Dignity?

A Sunday Telegraph columnist states:
It is excellent news that the Government has appointed Sir Michael Parkinson to be "dignity ambassador" for elderly people in care.

I don't think so. I find it distasteful that someone who has used his position to exploit elderly people through advertising for an insurance company's Over 50 Plan (and a French insurance company at that) should be appointed to anything by the government. Does he really need the money from his advertising fees? And now he is whoring for Murdoch's Sky Plus.

Putdown of the week

The Sunday Times is perhaps a little too cutting in its dismissal of the Scottish Tories:
Cameron, after visiting Crewe, flew on to Ayr racecourse, where the party’s Scottish conference was under way. North of the border the Conservatives have just one MP. The decrepit band of blue rinses gathered for the Scottish conference were a stark reminder of the hurdles that still lie between him and the keys to No 10.

Actually, to secure a turnout of 600 is not bad going. And they looked a bit less decrepit than usual ...

Rip-off of the week

From The Sunday Times (here):
The health minister Ann Keen is this weekend revealed to have insured her 70-year-old husband’s life for £430,000 – and to have claimed the premiums on parliamentary expenses.
Keen took out a joint HSBC “first death” policy with her husband Alan, also a Labour MP, which meant if one of them died the other would get the payout.
The £867 monthly premiums were submitted as part of their parliamentary expenses. The couple are already entitled to generous payouts if one of them dies under the Commons pension scheme.

Unbelievable.

23 May 2008

The rise of the nerds - or maybe the geeks

Keep up! You need to understand these social phenomena. The New York Times reports, I hope with tongue in cheek (or maybe not):
The future historians of the nerd ascendancy will likely note that the great empowerment phase began in the 1980s with the rise of Microsoft and the digital economy. Nerds began making large amounts of money and acquired economic credibility, the seedbed of social prestige. The information revolution produced a parade of highly confident nerd moguls — Bill Gates and Paul Allen, Larry Page and Sergey Brin and so on.
Among adults, the words “geek” and “nerd” exchanged status positions. A nerd was still socially tainted, but geekdom acquired its own cool counterculture. A geek possessed a certain passion for specialized knowledge, but also a high degree of cultural awareness and poise that a nerd lacked.
Geeks not only rebelled against jocks, but they distinguished themselves from alienated and self-pitying outsiders who wept with recognition when they read “Catcher in the Rye.” If Holden Caulfield was the sensitive loner from the age of nerd oppression, then Harry Potter was the magical leader in the age of geek empowerment.

No, I don't understand it either, but I first read Catcher in the 1960s when geeks and nerds were unheard of.

Barnett re-visited

Oh yes, the Barnett formula. The Herald reports:
David Cameron today drops his biggest hint that a future Conservative government would scrap the 30-year-old Barnett Formula.
...
Asked if it was time to get rid of the formula, Mr Cameron says: "This cannot last forever, the time is approaching ... If we replace the Barnett Formula with a needs-based formula, Scotland has very great needs and Scotland will get very great resources."

Sounds simple, doesn't it? This magical needs-based formula will easily replace tired old Barnett. Well, it's not simple; an acceptable needs-based formula will be damn difficult.

For example, how do we assess Scotland's need for spending on health care? We know that in general the health of the Scottish population is poorer than elsewhere in the UK: on average we die earlier than those south of the border; the prevalence of various conditions of ill-health is greater in Scotland; and we probably drink and smoke more while our children are fatter. So how much extra health spending per head do we 'need'? There are no automatic answers, especially if you consider that some of this extra need may in a sense be our fault.

So who could be trusted to draw up this needs-based formula? I don't see either HM Treasury or the Scottish Government as disinterested parties in preparing what would be a highly political calculation.

Which of course is why the Barnett formula was drawn up in the 1970s on the back of a fag packet, thus avoiding what would have been a lengthy, complex and disputatious process to assess relative needs. And has it served the UK so badly for the past 30 years that the formula must now be regarded as broken?

21 May 2008

Another mystery

Having just listened to PMQs, I am left wondering who is this person, Alky Ada, that the Prime Minister says is attacking our brave boys in Afghanistan?

Wogan will be disappointed

I see that Dustin the Turkey failed to qualify. Oh well, back to the drawing board ...

A dog's breakfast

I have been reading the SFT Business Case and it is like wading through treacle. Still, where else would you find such pretty diagrams as this little gem:





Does the accompanying text make any sense? I doubt it:
SFT has always been conceived as being representative of the whole public sector, and, if it is to deliver its efficiency potential, it has long been recognised that this original ambition must be crystallised in SFT's governance.
There is however always a balance to be struck between appropriate representation and governance, and effective management.
For the immediate next phase SFT will be moved forward more efficiently under direct oversight of Scottish Ministers. However, once its more detailed business case is confirmed, it could be overseen by an Infrastructure Board for Scotland, possibly made up of senior representatives from across the public sector and chaired by the Cabinet Secretary. The purpose of the IBfS would be to oversee SFT delivering its strategic objectives, and to input to the future strategic direction of SFT.
SFT Finance and Investment will be a separate private sector classified entity in which SFT D&D has a minority share. Careful structuring of the constitutional documents will be required for this entity to ensure the public sector can exert appropriate influence whilst not undermining its private sector classification. Its potential organisational form has not been assessed in detail, although the flexibility and transparency of a Limited Liability Partnership ( LLP) structure is initially attractive. It is anticipated that it is likely to fall to be regulated by the FSA. It will have its own management team who will report to the LLP members committee.
The details of how investment will be raised from the private sector has not been explored in any detail as part of this SBC.

So one part of this company will be a public sector entity while another part will be a private sector entity? How is that going to work exactly? And the last sentence of the above quotation rather gives the game away.

Incidentally, it may be all very well for local authorities to issue bonds (although why they would wish to do so when it is cheaper to borrow from the Public Works Loan Board is another mystery), but it will not enable them to escape public expenditure controls (which apply to capital investment rather than capital financing).







20 May 2008

Will they ever learn?

Is the Home Office getting carried away with a lust for databases? The Times reports:
A massive government database holding details of every phone call, e-mail and time spent on the internet by the public is being planned as part of the fight against crime and terrorism. Internet service providers (ISPs) and telecoms companies would hand over the records to the Home Office under plans put forward by officials.
The information would be held for at least 12 months and the police and security services would be able to access it if given permission from the courts.
The proposal will raise further alarm about a “Big Brother” society, as it follows plans for vast databases for the ID cards scheme and NHS patients. There will also be concern about the ability of the Government to manage a system holding billions of records. About 57 billion text messages were sent in Britain last year, while an estimated 3 billion e-mails are sent every day.

Do we really send 3 billion e-mails every day? An average of about 50 per person per day? If this is true, we are sending more than 1000 billion per year (that is 1,000,000,000,000).

I appreciate that there are some clever people at GCHQ but even the most sophisticated word recognition technology would have trouble in managing a database of that size, especially when you consider that it would need to hold details of the ISP, the sender, the recipients, the date of sending and presumably the title of each e-mail. And that's before you get to the phone calls and text messages.

I just cannot see it ever happening.

19 May 2008

Putting a kilt on it

How parochial can you get? The Scotsman reports:
JOE Jordan knows better than most people that players need to seize opportunities to play in an FA Cup final or else likely regret it for ever more. The Portsmouth first-team coach challenged his players to rise to the occasion last week, and, no matter the debilitating fatigue, keep their concentration until the very end.
His words won't help soothe the frustrations of Kevin McNaughton, Gavin Rae and Steven Thompson, the trio of Cardiff City Scots whose hopes of glory were shattered by Kanu's winner.

Pathetic!

Do turkeys vote for Christmas?

Mr Macwhirter does not understand:
... giving Holyrood power over elections may be the only way of ensuring that a repeat of last year's election-night chaos doesn't cause a serious breakdown in relations between the Scottish parliament and Westminster. The present divided responsibility exacerbates electoral tension and invites Holyrood politicians to blame London for anything that goes wrong. This is not the way to introduce stability to the constitutional settlement.
I can't understand why the MPs on the Scottish Affairs Committee, who yesterday ruled out any transfer of authority, can't see this.

I would have thought it obvious. As it is, Scottish MPs have little enough to do. They are unlikely to support a proposition which would further diminish their responsibilities and influence.

18 May 2008

Factoid of the day ...

... or revelations you might otherwise have missed.

According to The Sunday Independent, which has been considering the impact of higher oil prices:
... the speed of ships is being cut as it is cheaper to use more ships travelling slowly than fewer ones going faster.

which seems both significant and trivial, somehow.

17 May 2008

The saga continues

This is about Iceland the country, rather than the frozen food store. The Telegraph reports:
The central banks of Norway, Sweden and Denmark have joined forces in a stunning move to rescue Iceland, offering a credit line of €1.5bn (£1.2bn) to beat back speculators and shore up the battered krona.
The solidarity gesture is a powerful signal to hedge funds betting on Iceland's downfall that they are up against the international system. The swap accord doubles the foreign reserve cover of the Icelandic government at a stroke.
Iceland's central bank said the deal was a "precautionary measure" to stabilise the currency, which has crashed 25pc this year.
Stefan Ingves, head of Sweden's Riksbank, said the accord aimed to restore stability after months of mayhem. The Icelandic krona surged 3.7pc on the news.

As I recall, Iceland was one of the SNP's favoured examples of how small countries might prosper. I imagine that we will not hear so much about 'the arc of prosperity' from now on.

15 May 2008

On getting old

Look, if McCain can still hack it ... The Times seems to think that the oldies are being subjected to unfairness:
... ageism is the only “ism” that one can brazenly get away with these days. You cannot satirise someone's race, gender or disability - but a codger? Fill your boots. I'll admit to ageist moments myself, such as when I'm tutting in the queue for the cash machine and the elderly person at the front is bent double over the keyboard slowly pressing every single option key and always, always requests a receipt. Or driving in the middle lane of the motorway, invariably wearing a flat cap, at 25mph.

Well OK, I admit that I always ask for a receipt from the hole in the wall; but that's because I don't really trust machines. And, while I don't drive, I do occasionally wear a flat cap. Does that make me an old codger? (Probably.)

14 May 2008

Quote of the day

Gordon Brewer on last night's Newsnicht Scotland (here):
"Scottish Labour's policy on an independence referendum is a little clearer tonight, if only a little. The party's MSPs met this afternoon and seem to have agreed that they might support an SNP referendum bill or they might not, depending on what was in it. The decision could be interpreted as a brilliant manoeuvre to combine political flexibility with strength of purpose or as yet more mental gymnastics."

I am not alone

How comforting to learn that there are at least 436,999 other anoraks out there. The Guardian reports:
BBC Parliament's ratings are usually so low that individual programmes often do not register in the audience data published by research body Barb.
However, it posted an average weekly reach - the number of people watching at least three consecutive minutes - of 437,000 viewers for the week ending April 27.

13 May 2008

Gobble, gobble

Some less than helpful advice from The Guardian if you are ever attacked by turkeys:
A resurgent wild turkey population has caused problems in Boston, where the 1.5m-tall turkeys are known to chase joggers and schoolchildren, often in mobs. Wildlife officials advise fighting back with a broom or open umbrella. Don't be a victim. Be the dominant turkey.
Oh aye, like I constantly carry a broom or umbrella around. You don't see many joggers running with a brush. Still, I don't suppose that it is a problem I am likely to encounter in Edinburgh's douce Stockbridge.

12 May 2008

That which does not kill me makes me stronger

How does she keep going? How does she get up in the morning and go to work? When The Scotsman is describing her as appearing "to stumble from crisis to crisis" and The Herald states that she has made herself "a laughing stock"; and while so-called labour worthies (ie disappointed ex-ministers McLeish, McConnell and Wilson) line up to put the boot in.

It must hurt. It must hurt like hell. It must take considerable courage to keep on keeping on. If it were me, I would long ago have said 'stuff this' and told them where they could stick their leadership of the Labour Party in the Scottish Parliament.

So my compliments to Ms Alexander. She may not be the greatest political strategist in the world, but let no-one say that she doesn't have the guts for the job.

10 May 2008

What we really really want

Wendy explains it to The Times:
Nobody understands. I don’t know why.
It’s perfectly simple. The Scottish Nationalists want independence, and we don’t. So, they want a referendum, and we don’t want a referendum. But, although we don’t want a referendum, we reckon that if there is one, we want it soon, so that people are more likely to want what we want them to want. Which is to say, not to want anything.
So, in saying that we want one now, we want the SNP to say that they don’t want one now. And they will, because they want to get what they want. And that’s what we want. Because, if they have one when they want, they might get what they want. And who would want that?
I don’t know why Gordon is confused. He must be some kind of idiot.

If only politics were that simple ...

09 May 2008

Appearing to be tough on crime, appearing to be tough on the causes of crime

People may accuse me of being a lily-livered, liberal wimp but this kind of thing makes me feel uncomfortable. The BBC reports:
Youths who persistently misbehave and intimidate others in their communities should be "harassed themselves", Home Secretary Jacqui Smith has said.
She said she wanted police in England and Wales to "turn the tables" on those who would not "live by the rules".
This could include repeated home visits and checks to identify benefit fraud or council and road tax non-payment.

If police have reason to think that a crime has been committed, then by all means crack down hard on the alleged miscreants. But police harassment of young people of whom they disapprove for no specific criminal reason might be considered a step too far, even if it does have the encouragement of the Home Secretary.

But since when did this government care about civil liberties? Or indeed about effective action against anti-social behaviour? All that seems to matter is 'sending a message'.

08 May 2008

Bendy Wendy and the wendyrendum

You may consider that it is becoming tedious. But it is certainly attracting attention from south of the border. For the first time that I can recall, Radio 4's World at One actually carried extracts from First Minister's Questions; and even The Guardian saw fit to report the latest developments. Furthermore, Nick Robinson (here and here) has suddenly become an expert on Scottish politics.

Incidentally, Ms Alexander's renewed call for an early referendum rather contradicts the Prime Minister's position of yesterday - if that was not what she had said before then, she has certainly said it now.

Anyway, if you think that the blogosphere and the media are making an excessive fuss over the issue, wait until the referendum bill actually appears ...

07 May 2008

Curiouser and curiouser

More on Wendy's referendum plan which is running into the sand. Brian Taylor sums it up:
There's a further development on this story. It appears that there may be substantial obstacles in the path of Wendy Alexander's back-up plan - to table her own bill.
Firstly, she would require the support of at least one other party to table such a bill. Secondly, if there is the prospect of a Government Bill on a comparable topic - then a member's bill is ruled out.
Given that SNP ministers plan their own Bill for a referendum in 2010, this would appear to be a problem.

Sure enough, the Parliament's guidance on public bills states:
3.9 The final proposal [for a Member's Bill as opposed to an Executive Bill] is then published in the Business Bulletin for one calendar month, whilst the consultation summary or (as the case may be) statement of reasons is made available via the “Proposals for Members’ Bills” page of the Parliament website. During this period, any member may notify support for the proposal, this being recorded in the bulletin. If, at the end of the month, at least 18 other members, drawn from at least half the parties or groups represented on the Parliamentary Bureau, have indicated their support, the member has the right to introduce a Member’s Bill. This is unless a Minister has indicated either:
that the Executive will introduce legislation (which could be a Bill or a statutory instrument) to give effect to the proposal within the same session (i.e. the period, usually of four years, between general elections to the Scottish Parliament), or
that Her Majesty’s Government will introduce such legislation within the same or next session (a session at Westminster meaning a Parliamentary year, rather than the span of years between UK general elections).

I willingly confess that I was ignorant of these requirements. But then I'm not the leader of the Scottish Labour Party in Parliament and I didn't plan to introduce a Member's Bill.

Oh, and Big Gordon is unhappy, as Brian Taylor explains.

06 May 2008

Time drags by real slow - or not as the case may be

I see that the Alexander siblings have decided that a referendum on independence might after all be a Good Thing. Wendy is even prepared for the test of a simple yea or nay to independence, thus forswearing the triple option referendum of independence, status quo or enhanced devolution (which - if you believe the polls - would have reduced the level of support for independence). And she wants it to happen as soon as possible -or at least well before 2010, which is where the SNP administration's plans are leading.

But, assuming that Mr Salmond were to resist Ms Alexander's (rather vulgar) invitation to 'bring it on' and sticks to his planned timetable, what could Ms Alexander do about it? She would either have to bring forward her own bill for a consultative referendum to the Scottish Parliament or rely on her London colleagues to bring forward a similar bill to the Westminster Parliament (or more likely to include similar provision in the forthcoming constitutional bill). The latter course of action pre-supposes that the Prime Minister supports her latest change of heart (or emphasis), a proposition which may - or may not - prove to be the case. But let us place that question to one side, as the choice of legislature does not -I suggest - invalidate the following thesis.

To state the obvious, we are now in May 2008. Even if Ms Alexander, like Marvo the Magician, had a bill up her capacious sleeve which, with a drumroll and an expansive flourish, she could instantly lay before the tribunes of the Scottish electorate, there is no possible prospect of securing the passage of such a bill during the current (2007-08) parliamentary session. The mill-wheels of the Scottish Parliament grind slowly, with a bit of consultation here and a referral to committee there, debates on principle first and on detailed proposed amendments to follow. And, anyway, the likelihood that Ms Alexander has a bill up her sleeve is improbable, to say the least.

But (and it is a big but), if she gets her skates on, she could in theory have a bill ready for the start of the 2008-09 parliamentary session in the autumn of this year. (I am nevertheless obliged to point out that it is difficult for opposition parties to draft a bill, as the legal expertise lies with the official authorities under the control of the administration; but let us not be too pessimistic.) If such a bill were introduced later this year, then theoretically it could complete its parliamentary process and become an Act sometime in mid-2009, thus facilitating the holding of a referendum in the autumn of 2009 or, more likely, the spring of the following year.

The more astute of you will have noticed that we have already arrived at 2010. This is not so surprising. If I were the First Minister and I wanted to hold a referendum in 2010, then I would be planning for the bill to underpin such a referendum to go through the parliamentary process in 2008-09. To leave it any later would be risky in the extreme, especially in the light of the Scottish general election in 2011 and the increasingly distinct possibility of a UK general election in 2010. (Unless of course Mr Salmond did not expect to carry the bill, in which case the timing would be less crucial - but now that the concept of a referendum has attracted the support of the Alexanders the omens are becoming more propitious.)

So what is Ms Alexander playing at in demanding that Mr Salmond 'bring it on'? 'It' will be 'brought on' as soon as it can and, in any case, sooner than many of us would like.

I leave my readers to judge whether Wendy is being extremely clever or has simply not thought the position through.

05 May 2008

Over the top?

I enjoy football on TV. But I recognise that some do not. This seems excessive:
Between June 7, when the tournament kicks off with joint hosts Switzerland playing Czech Republic, and the final on June 29, the two channels will show 27 live games on BBC1 or ITV1, plus a further four on the digital channels BBC3 and ITV4.
Of those, 23 will kick off at 7.45pm in the middle of prime time, necessitating the rescheduling of soaps and other shows.

Thus, during a period of 23 days, 31 matches will be shown, with the vast majority on the major terrestrial channels.

Incidentally, I gather that we are supporting Poland.

Brown and Marr

The Prime Minister looked as if he hadn't slept for a week. And all this 'feeling your pain' nonsense just doesn't ring true. How is he going to turn the situation around? The Times comments:
It's all part of his “fightback” and, we must assume, some sort of masterplan.
Actually, we could have done with more of a plan. He refused to tell us any details of how he’s saving our economy. Indeed, his only actual plan seemed to be that he wants to get out more and meet us. He wants to listen. He wants to empathise. He also wants to apologise. The man for whom sorry has been the hardest word now, suddenly, can’t stop talking about his mistakes, about the 10p tax cut, the general election that wasn’t, blah blah blah.
It’s all a bit much: if he knocks on your door, you might want to hide.

Actually, I would settle for some basic competence. No more holding firm when it is obvious that you will back down at the last minute; no more back of a fag-packet solutions which fall to pieces upon inspection; no more pandering to the Daily Mail; and, above all, no more talk of long-term decisions which are neither long-term nor decisions.

02 May 2008

Quote of the day

Mike Ewart, Scottish prisons chief, takes on Gordon Brewer of Newsnight Scotland:
"What part of 'exceptional' do you find it difficult to understand?"
There are not many politicians in Scotland who would be so bold. And poor old Gordon looked a bit flummoxed. You can see the whole interview here by clicking on the button on the bottom right; the interview runs from about 15 minutes in.

More good news

The Telegraph reports:
After ten years of absence from British playgrounds, Opal Fruits are set to make a return.
Mars, the manufacturers, is bringing back the sweets for a limited period in conjunction with the supermarket chain ASDA.
The fruit chews that were "made to make you mouth water" were replaced by Starburst in 1998, the name under which they had been exported to the US in the seventies.

Sometimes, just sometimes, life can be so rewarding ...

Reasons for Rangers supporters to be cheerful ...

... unlike certain other fans headed for Moscow.

1. You don't need a visa to get into Manchester.

2. You don't have to donate an arm and a leg in order to catch a flight to Manchester.

3. The beer in Manchester is a lot cheaper than Moscow. (The locally brewed Holt's is particularly palatable.)